China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation has converged toward the 0.6–1.0% range in trader pricing because monthly readings have stabilized near 0.8% amid mixed price signals. August data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year, lifted by higher global energy and commodity costs tied to Middle East supply risks, while core CPI edged to 1.0% and producer prices accelerated to 3.8%. Persistent food deflation, especially in pork, and subdued domestic demand continue to cap broader gains after three years near zero. Analysts project full-year outcomes around 0.8–1.1%, consistent with the current leading bracket, though further energy volatility or demand weakness could shift the final print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 63%
0.1 – 0.5% 23.4%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
-0.4 – 0.0% 2.0%
$82,622 Vol.
$82,622 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
23%
0.6 – 1.0%
63%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
<1%
2.0-2.4%
2%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 63%
0.1 – 0.5% 23.4%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
-0.4 – 0.0% 2.0%
$82,622 Vol.
$82,622 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
$20,145 Vol.
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,498 Vol.
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,917 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$6,724 Vol.
23%
0.6 – 1.0%
$12,816 Vol.
63%
1.1 – 1.5%
$15,938 Vol.
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,783 Vol.
<1%
2.0-2.4%
$8,286 Vol.
2%
2.5%+
$3,515 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation has converged toward the 0.6–1.0% range in trader pricing because monthly readings have stabilized near 0.8% amid mixed price signals. August data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year, lifted by higher global energy and commodity costs tied to Middle East supply risks, while core CPI edged to 1.0% and producer prices accelerated to 3.8%. Persistent food deflation, especially in pork, and subdued domestic demand continue to cap broader gains after three years near zero. Analysts project full-year outcomes around 0.8–1.1%, consistent with the current leading bracket, though further energy volatility or demand weakness could shift the final print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$82,622End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation has converged toward the 0.6–1.0% range in trader pricing because monthly readings have stabilized near 0.8% amid mixed price signals. August data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year, lifted by higher global energy and commodity costs tied to Middle East supply risks, while core CPI edged to 1.0% and producer prices accelerated to 3.8%. Persistent food deflation, especially in pork, and subdued domestic demand continue to cap broader gains after three years near zero. Analysts project full-year outcomes around 0.8–1.1%, consistent with the current leading bracket, though further energy volatility or demand weakness could shift the final print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$82,622End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation has converged toward the 0.6–1.0% range in trader pricing because monthly readings have stabilized near 0.8% amid mixed price signals. August data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year, lifted by higher global energy and commodity costs tied to Middle East supply risks, while core CPI edged to 1.0% and producer prices accelerated to 3.8%. Persistent food deflation, especially in pork, and subdued domestic demand continue to cap broader gains after three years near zero. Analysts project full-year outcomes around 0.8–1.1%, consistent with the current leading bracket, though further energy volatility or demand weakness could shift the final print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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