The August 2026 CPI report, released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, confirmed the annual inflation rate at 3.4%, unchanged from July and aligning closely with consensus forecasts. This outcome reflects offsetting pressures: energy prices surged 16.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 3.9% monthly jump in gasoline, while shelter inflation eased to 3.0% and food costs moderated to 2.7%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 2.4% annually, down from 2.5% the prior month. Market-implied odds reflect this verified release, with traders assigning near-certainty to the 3.4% print given the official data. Potential challenges include any late revisions to the unadjusted figures or shifts in how markets interpret the monthly 0.4% headline increase ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.4% 100.0%
≤2.9% <1%
3.0% <1%
3.1% <1%
$156,365 Vol.
$156,365 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.9%
No
3.0%
No
3.1%
No
3.2%
No
3.3%
No
3.4%
Yes
3.5%
No
3.6%
No
3.7%
No
3.8%
No
3.9%
No
≥4.0%
No
3.4% 100.0%
≤2.9% <1%
3.0% <1%
3.1% <1%
$156,365 Vol.
$156,365 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.9%
$4,555 Vol.
No
3.0%
$4,932 Vol.
No
3.1%
$4,798 Vol.
No
3.2%
$6,277 Vol.
No
3.3%
$22,418 Vol.
No
3.4%
$45,450 Vol.
Yes
3.5%
$19,529 Vol.
No
3.6%
$11,742 Vol.
No
3.7%
$13,567 Vol.
No
3.8%
$13,690 Vol.
No
3.9%
$4,542 Vol.
No
≥4.0%
$4,867 Vol.
No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 CPI report, released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, confirmed the annual inflation rate at 3.4%, unchanged from July and aligning closely with consensus forecasts. This outcome reflects offsetting pressures: energy prices surged 16.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 3.9% monthly jump in gasoline, while shelter inflation eased to 3.0% and food costs moderated to 2.7%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 2.4% annually, down from 2.5% the prior month. Market-implied odds reflect this verified release, with traders assigning near-certainty to the 3.4% print given the official data. Potential challenges include any late revisions to the unadjusted figures or shifts in how markets interpret the monthly 0.4% headline increase ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$156,365End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 CPI report, released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, confirmed the annual inflation rate at 3.4%, unchanged from July and aligning closely with consensus forecasts. This outcome reflects offsetting pressures: energy prices surged 16.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 3.9% monthly jump in gasoline, while shelter inflation eased to 3.0% and food costs moderated to 2.7%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 2.4% annually, down from 2.5% the prior month. Market-implied odds reflect this verified release, with traders assigning near-certainty to the 3.4% print given the official data. Potential challenges include any late revisions to the unadjusted figures or shifts in how markets interpret the monthly 0.4% headline increase ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$156,365End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The August 2026 CPI report, released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, confirmed the annual inflation rate at 3.4%, unchanged from July and aligning closely with consensus forecasts. This outcome reflects offsetting pressures: energy prices surged 16.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 3.9% monthly jump in gasoline, while shelter inflation eased to 3.0% and food costs moderated to 2.7%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 2.4% annually, down from 2.5% the prior month. Market-implied odds reflect this verified release, with traders assigning near-certainty to the 3.4% print given the official data. Potential challenges include any late revisions to the unadjusted figures or shifts in how markets interpret the monthly 0.4% headline increase ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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