Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in recent surveys for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates and the top two finishers win. Polls from Real Time Big Data (early September) and earlier Quaest data place her between 19% and 30% in consolidated first- and second-choice shares, ahead of Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB), all clustered within margins of error amid a 13-candidate field. High spontaneous undecided rates near 67% leave room for consolidation or turnout shifts. Local name recognition from Surita’s multiple terms as Boa Vista mayor, competing PL candidacies that split right-leaning support, and limited recent movement by lower-polling names such as Helio Bolsonaro (Lopes) keep the ordering fluid until election-day preferences solidify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 50%
Nicoletti 31.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.4%
Chico Rodrigues 2.5%
$54,752 Vol.
$54,752 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
54%
Nicoletti
31%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Chico Rodrigues
2%
Helena da Asatur
1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Teresa Surita 50%
Nicoletti 31.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.4%
Chico Rodrigues 2.5%
$54,752 Vol.
$54,752 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$23,020 Vol.
54%
Nicoletti
$11,708 Vol.
31%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,652 Vol.
5%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,749 Vol.
2%
Helena da Asatur
$3,299 Vol.
1%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in recent surveys for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates and the top two finishers win. Polls from Real Time Big Data (early September) and earlier Quaest data place her between 19% and 30% in consolidated first- and second-choice shares, ahead of Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB), all clustered within margins of error amid a 13-candidate field. High spontaneous undecided rates near 67% leave room for consolidation or turnout shifts. Local name recognition from Surita’s multiple terms as Boa Vista mayor, competing PL candidacies that split right-leaning support, and limited recent movement by lower-polling names such as Helio Bolsonaro (Lopes) keep the ordering fluid until election-day preferences solidify.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$54,752End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in recent surveys for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates and the top two finishers win. Polls from Real Time Big Data (early September) and earlier Quaest data place her between 19% and 30% in consolidated first- and second-choice shares, ahead of Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB), all clustered within margins of error amid a 13-candidate field. High spontaneous undecided rates near 67% leave room for consolidation or turnout shifts. Local name recognition from Surita’s multiple terms as Boa Vista mayor, competing PL candidacies that split right-leaning support, and limited recent movement by lower-polling names such as Helio Bolsonaro (Lopes) keep the ordering fluid until election-day preferences solidify.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$54,752End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in recent surveys for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates and the top two finishers win. Polls from Real Time Big Data (early September) and earlier Quaest data place her between 19% and 30% in consolidated first- and second-choice shares, ahead of Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB), all clustered within margins of error amid a 13-candidate field. High spontaneous undecided rates near 67% leave room for consolidation or turnout shifts. Local name recognition from Surita’s multiple terms as Boa Vista mayor, competing PL candidacies that split right-leaning support, and limited recent movement by lower-polling names such as Helio Bolsonaro (Lopes) keep the ordering fluid until election-day preferences solidify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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