Rebecca Bennett leads the NJ-07 general election matchup at 75% in trader consensus, reflecting her decisive June primary victory as the Democratic nominee and sustained momentum against incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. Kean’s four-month absence from Congress due to health issues, including depression, which caused him to miss over 140 votes before returning in late June, has drawn sustained attention to the seat’s vulnerability in this swing district. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, has leveraged strong fundraising exceeding $4 million and her first general-election ads emphasizing military service and ethics. The race remains one of the nation’s most competitive ahead of the November 3 vote, with outside spending and voter turnout in suburban and rural areas likely to influence final margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-07 House Election Winner
NJ-07 House Election Winner
$18,889 Vol.
$18,889 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
76%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
23%
$18,889 Vol.
$18,889 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
$4,154 Vol.
76%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
$14,735 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett leads the NJ-07 general election matchup at 75% in trader consensus, reflecting her decisive June primary victory as the Democratic nominee and sustained momentum against incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. Kean’s four-month absence from Congress due to health issues, including depression, which caused him to miss over 140 votes before returning in late June, has drawn sustained attention to the seat’s vulnerability in this swing district. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, has leveraged strong fundraising exceeding $4 million and her first general-election ads emphasizing military service and ethics. The race remains one of the nation’s most competitive ahead of the November 3 vote, with outside spending and voter turnout in suburban and rural areas likely to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$18,889End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett leads the NJ-07 general election matchup at 75% in trader consensus, reflecting her decisive June primary victory as the Democratic nominee and sustained momentum against incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. Kean’s four-month absence from Congress due to health issues, including depression, which caused him to miss over 140 votes before returning in late June, has drawn sustained attention to the seat’s vulnerability in this swing district. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, has leveraged strong fundraising exceeding $4 million and her first general-election ads emphasizing military service and ethics. The race remains one of the nation’s most competitive ahead of the November 3 vote, with outside spending and voter turnout in suburban and rural areas likely to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,889End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Bennett leads the NJ-07 general election matchup at 75% in trader consensus, reflecting her decisive June primary victory as the Democratic nominee and sustained momentum against incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. Kean’s four-month absence from Congress due to health issues, including depression, which caused him to miss over 140 votes before returning in late June, has drawn sustained attention to the seat’s vulnerability in this swing district. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, has leveraged strong fundraising exceeding $4 million and her first general-election ads emphasizing military service and ethics. The race remains one of the nation’s most competitive ahead of the November 3 vote, with outside spending and voter turnout in suburban and rural areas likely to influence final margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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