Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th congressional district race stems from the area's strong Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2020, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 over challenger Mark Conway. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and Mfume's prior general election margins exceeding 60 points. Scott Collier, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national events, health developments, or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kweisi Mfume (D)
97%
Scott Collier (R)
2%
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kweisi Mfume (D)
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Scott Collier (R)
$9,125 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th congressional district race stems from the area's strong Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2020, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 over challenger Mark Conway. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and Mfume's prior general election margins exceeding 60 points. Scott Collier, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national events, health developments, or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th congressional district race stems from the area's strong Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2020, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 over challenger Mark Conway. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and Mfume's prior general election margins exceeding 60 points. Scott Collier, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national events, health developments, or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th congressional district race stems from the area's strong Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 2020, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 over challenger Mark Conway. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and Mfume's prior general election margins exceeding 60 points. Scott Collier, the Republican nominee who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing most of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national events, health developments, or major scandals in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions