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icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Isabelle Blais 65%

Simon Allaire 36%

Nancy Mignault 1.7%

Simon Piotte 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Isabelle Blais 65%

Simon Allaire 36%

Nancy Mignault 1.7%

Simon Piotte 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Isabelle Blais

Isabelle Blais

$3,230 Vol.

65%

icon for Simon Allaire

Simon Allaire

$749 Vol.

36%

icon for Nancy Mignault

Nancy Mignault

$746 Vol.

2%

icon for Simon Piotte

Simon Piotte

$540 Vol.

1%

icon for Marc-André Cloutier

Marc-André Cloutier

$1,139 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec general election campaign, called for October 5, 2026, features a competitive race in Maskinongé between Coalition Avenir Québec incumbent Simon Allaire and Parti Québécois candidate Isabelle Blais. Recent seat projections updated in early September show the PQ leading in projected vote share, reflecting broader shifts in voter sentiment during the campaign period that began in late August. Allaire, who initially indicated he would not seek another term, was persuaded to run again, while Blais secured her party nomination earlier in the spring with strong local support as a recognizable figure with regional ties. Minor-party candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives register minimal projected support. Trader pricing aligns with these polling trends and the riding’s recent electoral history as a former CAQ stronghold now appearing more contested.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$6,404
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec general election campaign, called for October 5, 2026, features a competitive race in Maskinongé between Coalition Avenir Québec incumbent Simon Allaire and Parti Québécois candidate Isabelle Blais. Recent seat projections updated in early September show the PQ leading in projected vote share, reflecting broader shifts in voter sentiment during the campaign period that began in late August. Allaire, who initially indicated he would not seek another term, was persuaded to run again, while Blais secured her party nomination earlier in the spring with strong local support as a recognizable figure with regional ties. Minor-party candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives register minimal projected support. Trader pricing aligns with these polling trends and the riding’s recent electoral history as a former CAQ stronghold now appearing more contested.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$6,404
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Isabelle Blais" at 65%, followed by "Simon Allaire" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Isabelle Blais" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Simon Allaire" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.