The closely matched 2026 gubernatorial map—26 Republican governors and 24 Democratic ones heading into elections for 18 seats per party—keeps trader consensus clustered around modest net changes. Democrats defend five governorships in states Trump carried in 2024 while Republicans defend just two in Harris-won states, creating symmetric pickup opportunities amid a mix of term-limited open seats, recent primaries, and local issues such as agriculture, water policy, and state budgets that often outweigh national trends. Forecasters rate roughly one-third of contests as competitive, with shifts in ratings for states including Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Wisconsin reflecting evolving polling and candidate dynamics. Separation in final Republican totals could emerge from results in these battlegrounds, where small swings in turnout or candidate performance would alter the post-election balance by several seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated22–23 31%
24–25 25%
<22 19%
26–27 16%
$693,792 Vol.
$693,792 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<22
19%
22–23
31%
24–25
25%
26–27
16%
28–29
3%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 31%
24–25 25%
<22 19%
26–27 16%
$693,792 Vol.
$693,792 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<22
$49,647 Vol.
19%
22–23
$9,705 Vol.
31%
24–25
$34,160 Vol.
25%
26–27
$18,172 Vol.
16%
28–29
$558,010 Vol.
3%
30–31
$8,404 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,694 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched 2026 gubernatorial map—26 Republican governors and 24 Democratic ones heading into elections for 18 seats per party—keeps trader consensus clustered around modest net changes. Democrats defend five governorships in states Trump carried in 2024 while Republicans defend just two in Harris-won states, creating symmetric pickup opportunities amid a mix of term-limited open seats, recent primaries, and local issues such as agriculture, water policy, and state budgets that often outweigh national trends. Forecasters rate roughly one-third of contests as competitive, with shifts in ratings for states including Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Wisconsin reflecting evolving polling and candidate dynamics. Separation in final Republican totals could emerge from results in these battlegrounds, where small swings in turnout or candidate performance would alter the post-election balance by several seats.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$693,792End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched 2026 gubernatorial map—26 Republican governors and 24 Democratic ones heading into elections for 18 seats per party—keeps trader consensus clustered around modest net changes. Democrats defend five governorships in states Trump carried in 2024 while Republicans defend just two in Harris-won states, creating symmetric pickup opportunities amid a mix of term-limited open seats, recent primaries, and local issues such as agriculture, water policy, and state budgets that often outweigh national trends. Forecasters rate roughly one-third of contests as competitive, with shifts in ratings for states including Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Wisconsin reflecting evolving polling and candidate dynamics. Separation in final Republican totals could emerge from results in these battlegrounds, where small swings in turnout or candidate performance would alter the post-election balance by several seats.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$693,792End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched 2026 gubernatorial map—26 Republican governors and 24 Democratic ones heading into elections for 18 seats per party—keeps trader consensus clustered around modest net changes. Democrats defend five governorships in states Trump carried in 2024 while Republicans defend just two in Harris-won states, creating symmetric pickup opportunities amid a mix of term-limited open seats, recent primaries, and local issues such as agriculture, water policy, and state budgets that often outweigh national trends. Forecasters rate roughly one-third of contests as competitive, with shifts in ratings for states including Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Wisconsin reflecting evolving polling and candidate dynamics. Separation in final Republican totals could emerge from results in these battlegrounds, where small swings in turnout or candidate performance would alter the post-election balance by several seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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