The near-certain market consensus on a 33°C daily maximum in Ankara stems from real-time meteorological observations on September 13, 2026, including station reports from Ankara Esenboğa International Airport recording a peak of 91.4°F (precisely 33°C) under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Multiple forecast models and hourly data aligned closely with this outcome, showing afternoon highs around 32–34°C before evening cooling, consistent with late-summer conditions in the region. Official Turkish meteorological data and international reanalysis support this reading as the verified high, with minimal precipitation and low humidity aiding the peak. Revisions to station calibrations or discrepancies across urban versus airport sites could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$31,315 Vol.
$31,315 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$31,315 Vol.
$31,315 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
$847 Vol.
No
28°C
$805 Vol.
No
29°C
$947 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,126 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,225 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,524 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,402 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$4,949 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,799 Vol.
No
36°C
$587 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,105 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain market consensus on a 33°C daily maximum in Ankara stems from real-time meteorological observations on September 13, 2026, including station reports from Ankara Esenboğa International Airport recording a peak of 91.4°F (precisely 33°C) under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Multiple forecast models and hourly data aligned closely with this outcome, showing afternoon highs around 32–34°C before evening cooling, consistent with late-summer conditions in the region. Official Turkish meteorological data and international reanalysis support this reading as the verified high, with minimal precipitation and low humidity aiding the peak. Revisions to station calibrations or discrepancies across urban versus airport sites could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,315End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain market consensus on a 33°C daily maximum in Ankara stems from real-time meteorological observations on September 13, 2026, including station reports from Ankara Esenboğa International Airport recording a peak of 91.4°F (precisely 33°C) under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Multiple forecast models and hourly data aligned closely with this outcome, showing afternoon highs around 32–34°C before evening cooling, consistent with late-summer conditions in the region. Official Turkish meteorological data and international reanalysis support this reading as the verified high, with minimal precipitation and low humidity aiding the peak. Revisions to station calibrations or discrepancies across urban versus airport sites could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,315End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The near-certain market consensus on a 33°C daily maximum in Ankara stems from real-time meteorological observations on September 13, 2026, including station reports from Ankara Esenboğa International Airport recording a peak of 91.4°F (precisely 33°C) under clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Multiple forecast models and hourly data aligned closely with this outcome, showing afternoon highs around 32–34°C before evening cooling, consistent with late-summer conditions in the region. Official Turkish meteorological data and international reanalysis support this reading as the verified high, with minimal precipitation and low humidity aiding the peak. Revisions to station calibrations or discrepancies across urban versus airport sites could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary maxima are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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