Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate a high around 23–25°C for Ankara today, driven by widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers that limit daytime heating despite September norms near 24°C. Thunderstorm activity and northeast winds are suppressing peak temperatures below earlier seasonal expectations, aligning trader consensus on 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Model runs show limited disagreement on intensification of precipitation through afternoon hours, with real-time station data and updated short-range guidance likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution. Historical analogs for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns support this range, while any clearing could briefly push readings toward 25°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
23°C 45%
24°C 35%
22°C 14%
25°C 7%
$32,504 Vol.
$32,504 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
45%
24°C
35%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 35%
22°C 14%
25°C 7%
$32,504 Vol.
$32,504 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$5,010 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,575 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,463 Vol.
4%
22°C
$5,034 Vol.
14%
23°C
$5,344 Vol.
45%
24°C
$3,721 Vol.
35%
25°C
$3,888 Vol.
7%
26°C
$2,978 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$349 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate a high around 23–25°C for Ankara today, driven by widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers that limit daytime heating despite September norms near 24°C. Thunderstorm activity and northeast winds are suppressing peak temperatures below earlier seasonal expectations, aligning trader consensus on 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Model runs show limited disagreement on intensification of precipitation through afternoon hours, with real-time station data and updated short-range guidance likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution. Historical analogs for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns support this range, while any clearing could briefly push readings toward 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$32,504End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate a high around 23–25°C for Ankara today, driven by widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers that limit daytime heating despite September norms near 24°C. Thunderstorm activity and northeast winds are suppressing peak temperatures below earlier seasonal expectations, aligning trader consensus on 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Model runs show limited disagreement on intensification of precipitation through afternoon hours, with real-time station data and updated short-range guidance likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution. Historical analogs for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns support this range, while any clearing could briefly push readings toward 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,504End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate a high around 23–25°C for Ankara today, driven by widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers that limit daytime heating despite September norms near 24°C. Thunderstorm activity and northeast winds are suppressing peak temperatures below earlier seasonal expectations, aligning trader consensus on 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Model runs show limited disagreement on intensification of precipitation through afternoon hours, with real-time station data and updated short-range guidance likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution. Historical analogs for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns support this range, while any clearing could briefly push readings toward 25°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions