Official weather observations from Austin stations, including Camp Mabry, recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 17 amid a broader late-summer heat pattern that has produced multiple days above 95°F. National Weather Service data and numerical model runs showed persistent southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-normal 500-hPa heights sustaining surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of ~91°F. This outcome aligns with the month’s trajectory toward record warmth, where observed values clustered tightly in the upper 90s. Minor station-to-station variance or post-processing adjustments could theoretically shift the official reading, yet the convergence of multiple independent reports leaves little room for reclassification outside the 96–97°F bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on September 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 17?
96-97°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$31,408 Vol.
$31,408 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
96-97°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$31,408 Vol.
$31,408 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
85°F or below
$654 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$292 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$561 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$592 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$919 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$8,602 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$8,518 Vol.
Yes
98-99°F
$5,457 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$4,262 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$791 Vol.
No
104°F or higher
$759 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official weather observations from Austin stations, including Camp Mabry, recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 17 amid a broader late-summer heat pattern that has produced multiple days above 95°F. National Weather Service data and numerical model runs showed persistent southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-normal 500-hPa heights sustaining surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of ~91°F. This outcome aligns with the month’s trajectory toward record warmth, where observed values clustered tightly in the upper 90s. Minor station-to-station variance or post-processing adjustments could theoretically shift the official reading, yet the convergence of multiple independent reports leaves little room for reclassification outside the 96–97°F bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,408End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official weather observations from Austin stations, including Camp Mabry, recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 17 amid a broader late-summer heat pattern that has produced multiple days above 95°F. National Weather Service data and numerical model runs showed persistent southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-normal 500-hPa heights sustaining surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of ~91°F. This outcome aligns with the month’s trajectory toward record warmth, where observed values clustered tightly in the upper 90s. Minor station-to-station variance or post-processing adjustments could theoretically shift the official reading, yet the convergence of multiple independent reports leaves little room for reclassification outside the 96–97°F bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,408End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official weather observations from Austin stations, including Camp Mabry, recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 17 amid a broader late-summer heat pattern that has produced multiple days above 95°F. National Weather Service data and numerical model runs showed persistent southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-normal 500-hPa heights sustaining surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of ~91°F. This outcome aligns with the month’s trajectory toward record warmth, where observed values clustered tightly in the upper 90s. Minor station-to-station variance or post-processing adjustments could theoretically shift the official reading, yet the convergence of multiple independent reports leaves little room for reclassification outside the 96–97°F bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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