Forecasts from Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 34°C for Karachi on September 17, reflecting post-monsoon conditions with mostly sunny skies, southwest winds around 10-15 mph, and minimal precipitation risk under 5%. Recent light rain on September 16 lowered humidity slightly and stabilized the boundary layer without altering the overall warm pattern typical for mid-September, when average highs reach 32-35°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 34°C incorporates this model agreement and real-time observations showing current temperatures tracking the expected diurnal rise. A modest deviation remains possible if unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or localized sea-breeze enhancement occurs, though ensemble spreads indicate low likelihood of shifting the peak outside the 33-35°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 17?
34°C 99.4%
37°C or higher <1%
36°C <1%
35°C <1%
$24,140 Vol.
$24,140 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
99%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 99.4%
37°C or higher <1%
36°C <1%
35°C <1%
$24,140 Vol.
$24,140 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
99%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on a daytime maximum of 34°C for Karachi on September 17, reflecting post-monsoon conditions with mostly sunny skies, southwest winds around 10-15 mph, and minimal precipitation risk under 5%. Recent light rain on September 16 lowered humidity slightly and stabilized the boundary layer without altering the overall warm pattern typical for mid-September, when average highs reach 32-35°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 34°C incorporates this model agreement and real-time observations showing current temperatures tracking the expected diurnal rise. A modest deviation remains possible if unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or localized sea-breeze enhancement occurs, though ensemble spreads indicate low likelihood of shifting the peak outside the 33-35°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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