**Recent Latvian polling ahead of the 3 October Saeima election shows Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a clear lead, while second place remains highly contested among LPV, SV, PRO, NA and ZZS.** Late-August surveys placed AS first at 15–16%, with SV, LPV and PRO clustered between roughly 6–12% and NA, ZZS and JV near or below the 5% threshold. The May government collapse and subsequent confirmation of Andris Kulbergs as prime minister lifted AS support and appear to have drawn votes from LPV and NA. Persistent high shares of undecided voters (around 30–35%) and differing poll methodologies sustain volatility in the ordering of the main challengers. Campaign momentum, turnout among Russian-speaking voters, and last-minute shifts among smaller lists could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLPV 41%
SV 16%
PRO 8.6%
NA 4.0%
$20,935 Vol.
$20,935 Vol.
Oct 3, 2026
LPV
39%
SV
16%
PRO
9%
NA
4%
AS
2%
ZZS
1%
MMN
1%
ST!
1%
ASL
1%
JV
<1%
GS
<1%
LA
<1%
SC
<1%
JKP
<1%
LPV 41%
SV 16%
PRO 8.6%
NA 4.0%
$20,935 Vol.
$20,935 Vol.
Oct 3, 2026
LPV
$5,924 Vol.
39%
SV
$3,097 Vol.
16%
PRO
$2,025 Vol.
9%
NA
$854 Vol.
4%
AS
$1,535 Vol.
2%
ZZS
$931 Vol.
1%
MMN
$699 Vol.
1%
ST!
$1,063 Vol.
1%
ASL
$894 Vol.
1%
JV
$782 Vol.
<1%
GS
$799 Vol.
<1%
LA
$982 Vol.
<1%
SC
$658 Vol.
<1%
JKP
$692 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**Recent Latvian polling ahead of the 3 October Saeima election shows Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a clear lead, while second place remains highly contested among LPV, SV, PRO, NA and ZZS.**
Late-August surveys placed AS first at 15–16%, with SV, LPV and PRO clustered between roughly 6–12% and NA, ZZS and JV near or below the 5% threshold. The May government collapse and subsequent confirmation of Andris Kulbergs as prime minister lifted AS support and appear to have drawn votes from LPV and NA. Persistent high shares of undecided voters (around 30–35%) and differing poll methodologies sustain volatility in the ordering of the main challengers. Campaign momentum, turnout among Russian-speaking voters, and last-minute shifts among smaller lists could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Volume
$20,935End Date
Oct 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**Recent Latvian polling ahead of the 3 October Saeima election shows Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a clear lead, while second place remains highly contested among LPV, SV, PRO, NA and ZZS.**
Late-August surveys placed AS first at 15–16%, with SV, LPV and PRO clustered between roughly 6–12% and NA, ZZS and JV near or below the 5% threshold. The May government collapse and subsequent confirmation of Andris Kulbergs as prime minister lifted AS support and appear to have drawn votes from LPV and NA. Persistent high shares of undecided voters (around 30–35%) and differing poll methodologies sustain volatility in the ordering of the main challengers. Campaign momentum, turnout among Russian-speaking voters, and last-minute shifts among smaller lists could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volume
$20,935End Date
Oct 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Latvian polling ahead of the 3 October Saeima election shows Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a clear lead, while second place remains highly contested among LPV, SV, PRO, NA and ZZS.** Late-August surveys placed AS first at 15–16%, with SV, LPV and PRO clustered between roughly 6–12% and NA, ZZS and JV near or below the 5% threshold. The May government collapse and subsequent confirmation of Andris Kulbergs as prime minister lifted AS support and appear to have drawn votes from LPV and NA. Persistent high shares of undecided voters (around 30–35%) and differing poll methodologies sustain volatility in the ordering of the main challengers. Campaign momentum, turnout among Russian-speaking voters, and last-minute shifts among smaller lists could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
85%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
82%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions