Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
World·Canada

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

icon for Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
World·Canada

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 75%

Pam Alexis 20%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 1.9%

Polymarket

$11,029 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 75%

Pam Alexis 20%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 1.9%

Polymarket

$11,029 Vol.

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$10,173 Vol.

75%

icon for Pam Alexis

Pam Alexis

$417 Vol.

20%

icon for Lakhwinder Jhaj

Lakhwinder Jhaj

$439 Vol.

2%

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kerry-Lynne Findlay, leader of the BC Conservative Party, holds the strongest position in the Abbotsford-Mission by-election due to the riding’s Conservative tilt from the 2024 provincial election and the strategic resignation of incumbent MLA Reann Gasper to create an open seat for her candidacy. The by-election, called for September 26, 2026, features five candidates, with former NDP cabinet minister Pam Alexis as the primary challenger after losing the seat in 2024. Minor-party contenders from the Greens, CentreBC, and Libertarians register limited support. Trader pricing reflects the short campaign timeline, Findlay’s party infrastructure and name recognition as leader, and the absence of major late developments that would shift the competitive landscape before advance voting begins September 18.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$11,029
End Date
Sep 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://elections.bc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kerry-Lynne Findlay, leader of the BC Conservative Party, holds the strongest position in the Abbotsford-Mission by-election due to the riding’s Conservative tilt from the 2024 provincial election and the strategic resignation of incumbent MLA Reann Gasper to create an open seat for her candidacy. The by-election, called for September 26, 2026, features five candidates, with former NDP cabinet minister Pam Alexis as the primary challenger after losing the seat in 2024. Minor-party contenders from the Greens, CentreBC, and Libertarians register limited support. Trader pricing reflects the short campaign timeline, Findlay’s party infrastructure and name recognition as leader, and the absence of major late developments that would shift the competitive landscape before advance voting begins September 18.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$11,029
End Date
Sep 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://elections.bc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

95%
icon for Will Yiwarr McGrath win the next Mulka by-election?

Will Yiwarr McGrath win the next Mulka by-election?

96%
icon for Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?

Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?

44%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 75%, followed by "Pam Alexis" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" has generated $11K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pam Alexis" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.