The Parti Québécois maintains a steady polling lead of roughly 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support that translates into projected pluralities in the National Assembly. Recent Léger and Pallas Data surveys show the CAQ gaining modestly under new leader and Premier Christine Fréchette, yet remaining behind amid a divided federalist vote split with the PLQ. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ assign the PQ an 80 percent or higher probability of winning the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely. The campaign, officially underway after the August 27 dissolution, centers on housing, immigration levels, language protections, and sovereignty questions, with ongoing debates and regional riding dynamics continuing to shape outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 76%
魁人党 24%
魁北克自由党 2.4%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$894,802 交易量
$894,802 交易量
2026-10-04
魁人党
76%
魁人党
24%
魁北克自由党
2%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁人党 76%
魁人党 24%
魁北克自由党 2.4%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$894,802 交易量
$894,802 交易量
2026-10-04
魁人党
$121,531 交易量
76%
魁人党
$137,544 交易量
24%
魁北克自由党
$123,968 交易量
2%
魁北克保守党
$247,715 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$157,522 交易量
<1%
魁团
$106,523 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a steady polling lead of roughly 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support that translates into projected pluralities in the National Assembly. Recent Léger and Pallas Data surveys show the CAQ gaining modestly under new leader and Premier Christine Fréchette, yet remaining behind amid a divided federalist vote split with the PLQ. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ assign the PQ an 80 percent or higher probability of winning the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely. The campaign, officially underway after the August 27 dissolution, centers on housing, immigration levels, language protections, and sovereignty questions, with ongoing debates and regional riding dynamics continuing to shape outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$894,802结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a steady polling lead of roughly 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support that translates into projected pluralities in the National Assembly. Recent Léger and Pallas Data surveys show the CAQ gaining modestly under new leader and Premier Christine Fréchette, yet remaining behind amid a divided federalist vote split with the PLQ. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ assign the PQ an 80 percent or higher probability of winning the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely. The campaign, officially underway after the August 27 dissolution, centers on housing, immigration levels, language protections, and sovereignty questions, with ongoing debates and regional riding dynamics continuing to shape outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$894,802结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETThe Parti Québécois maintains a steady polling lead of roughly 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support that translates into projected pluralities in the National Assembly. Recent Léger and Pallas Data surveys show the CAQ gaining modestly under new leader and Premier Christine Fréchette, yet remaining behind amid a divided federalist vote split with the PLQ. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ assign the PQ an 80 percent or higher probability of winning the most seats, though a majority remains unlikely. The campaign, officially underway after the August 27 dissolution, centers on housing, immigration levels, language protections, and sovereignty questions, with ongoing debates and regional riding dynamics continuing to shape outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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