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icon for Vaimauga 3补选获胜者

Vaimauga 3补选获胜者

icon for Vaimauga 3补选获胜者

Vaimauga 3补选获胜者

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 14%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 5.1%

Polymarket
最新

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 14%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 5.1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$1,947 交易量

43%

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$1,180 交易量

16%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$2,567 交易量

14%

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$546 交易量

5%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Vaimauga 3 voters return to the polls on 18 September 2026 for the third contest in the constituency since 2025, following the Electoral Court’s voiding of the May result on bribery findings that disqualified both main participants. With Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai and Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu barred, the field now features multiple FAST entrants including Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni, HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo, independents such as Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo, and additional contenders. Traders see no dominant frontrunner because the fragmented slate, combined with voter priorities around roads, water supply, street lighting, and District Development Programme funding, sustains even implied probabilities across options. Local service delivery and residual party-switching effects continue to shape positioning ahead of pre-polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
交易量
$6,240
结束日期
2026-09-18
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Vaimauga 3 voters return to the polls on 18 September 2026 for the third contest in the constituency since 2025, following the Electoral Court’s voiding of the May result on bribery findings that disqualified both main participants. With Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai and Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu barred, the field now features multiple FAST entrants including Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni, HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo, independents such as Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo, and additional contenders. Traders see no dominant frontrunner because the fragmented slate, combined with voter priorities around roads, water supply, street lighting, and District Development Programme funding, sustains even implied probabilities across options. Local service delivery and residual party-switching effects continue to shape positioning ahead of pre-polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
交易量
$6,240
结束日期
2026-09-18
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

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常见问题

"Vaimauga 3补选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia",概率为 43%,其次是"Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo",概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 43¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Vaimauga 3补选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Vaimauga 3补选获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Vaimauga 3补选获胜者"的当前领先者是"Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia",概率为 43%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 43%。紧随其后的结果是"Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo",概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Vaimauga 3补选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。