New People, a Kremlin-aligned systemic opposition party founded in 2020, maintains limited but stable support in Russia's managed political system ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Preliminary results from the just-concluded election show the party receiving roughly 8% of the party-list vote and around 20 seats overall, consistent with pre-election polling averages and its 2021 performance of 13 seats. United Russia's commanding lead in both proportional and single-mandate districts, combined with the 5% threshold and administrative controls on campaigning, caps gains for smaller parties like New People. Modest increases could occur through stronger regional organization or shifts in voter preferences among pro-regime options, though structural barriers make substantial expansion beyond current projections unlikely without major changes in Kremlin-managed outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于35 97.1%
85+ 1.9%
35–44 <1%
55–64 <1%
$140,913 交易量
$140,913 交易量
2026-09-20
少于35
97%
35–44
1%
45–54
<1%
55–64
1%
65–74
1%
75–84
<1%
85+
2%
少于35 97.1%
85+ 1.9%
35–44 <1%
55–64 <1%
$140,913 交易量
$140,913 交易量
2026-09-20
少于35
$35,941 交易量
97%
35–44
$31,253 交易量
1%
45–54
$23,228 交易量
<1%
55–64
$14,191 交易量
1%
65–74
$13,552 交易量
1%
75–84
$9,273 交易量
<1%
85+
$13,475 交易量
2%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a Kremlin-aligned systemic opposition party founded in 2020, maintains limited but stable support in Russia's managed political system ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Preliminary results from the just-concluded election show the party receiving roughly 8% of the party-list vote and around 20 seats overall, consistent with pre-election polling averages and its 2021 performance of 13 seats. United Russia's commanding lead in both proportional and single-mandate districts, combined with the 5% threshold and administrative controls on campaigning, caps gains for smaller parties like New People. Modest increases could occur through stronger regional organization or shifts in voter preferences among pro-regime options, though structural barriers make substantial expansion beyond current projections unlikely without major changes in Kremlin-managed outcomes.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$140,913结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETLegislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a Kremlin-aligned systemic opposition party founded in 2020, maintains limited but stable support in Russia's managed political system ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Preliminary results from the just-concluded election show the party receiving roughly 8% of the party-list vote and around 20 seats overall, consistent with pre-election polling averages and its 2021 performance of 13 seats. United Russia's commanding lead in both proportional and single-mandate districts, combined with the 5% threshold and administrative controls on campaigning, caps gains for smaller parties like New People. Modest increases could occur through stronger regional organization or shifts in voter preferences among pro-regime options, though structural barriers make substantial expansion beyond current projections unlikely without major changes in Kremlin-managed outcomes.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$140,913结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETNew People, a Kremlin-aligned systemic opposition party founded in 2020, maintains limited but stable support in Russia's managed political system ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Preliminary results from the just-concluded election show the party receiving roughly 8% of the party-list vote and around 20 seats overall, consistent with pre-election polling averages and its 2021 performance of 13 seats. United Russia's commanding lead in both proportional and single-mandate districts, combined with the 5% threshold and administrative controls on campaigning, caps gains for smaller parties like New People. Modest increases could occur through stronger regional organization or shifts in voter preferences among pro-regime options, though structural barriers make substantial expansion beyond current projections unlikely without major changes in Kremlin-managed outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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