**Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the Parti Québécois holding a consistent lead in popular vote and projected seats ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette and the Parti Conservateur du Québec has strengthened in the Quebec City region.** The Quebec Liberal Party's support has declined from earlier peaks, leaving it with narrower regional bases concentrated on the Island of Montreal and among non-francophones. Current projections from aggregators such as 338Canada place the PLQ in the 25–37 seat range, frequently landing it behind the PQ and either the CAQ or PCQ depending on regional outcomes and vote efficiency. These dynamics, combined with the fragmented electoral map and ongoing campaign volatility, underpin trader consensus that the PLQ is the most likely party to finish third in seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于PLQ 70%
CAQ 19%
PQ 6.7%
QS 1.6%
$10,706 交易量
$10,706 交易量
2026-10-04
PLQ
70%
CAQ
19%
PQ
7%
QS
2%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 70%
CAQ 19%
PQ 6.7%
QS 1.6%
$10,706 交易量
$10,706 交易量
2026-10-04
PLQ
$2,861 交易量
70%
CAQ
$3,511 交易量
19%
PQ
$1,363 交易量
7%
QS
$1,148 交易量
2%
PCQ
$1,225 交易量
1%
PVQ
$597 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the Parti Québécois holding a consistent lead in popular vote and projected seats ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette and the Parti Conservateur du Québec has strengthened in the Quebec City region.** The Quebec Liberal Party's support has declined from earlier peaks, leaving it with narrower regional bases concentrated on the Island of Montreal and among non-francophones. Current projections from aggregators such as 338Canada place the PLQ in the 25–37 seat range, frequently landing it behind the PQ and either the CAQ or PCQ depending on regional outcomes and vote efficiency. These dynamics, combined with the fragmented electoral map and ongoing campaign volatility, underpin trader consensus that the PLQ is the most likely party to finish third in seats.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
交易量
$10,706结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the Parti Québécois holding a consistent lead in popular vote and projected seats ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette and the Parti Conservateur du Québec has strengthened in the Quebec City region.** The Quebec Liberal Party's support has declined from earlier peaks, leaving it with narrower regional bases concentrated on the Island of Montreal and among non-francophones. Current projections from aggregators such as 338Canada place the PLQ in the 25–37 seat range, frequently landing it behind the PQ and either the CAQ or PCQ depending on regional outcomes and vote efficiency. These dynamics, combined with the fragmented electoral map and ongoing campaign volatility, underpin trader consensus that the PLQ is the most likely party to finish third in seats.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$10,706结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET**Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the Parti Québécois holding a consistent lead in popular vote and projected seats ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette and the Parti Conservateur du Québec has strengthened in the Quebec City region.** The Quebec Liberal Party's support has declined from earlier peaks, leaving it with narrower regional bases concentrated on the Island of Montreal and among non-francophones. Current projections from aggregators such as 338Canada place the PLQ in the 25–37 seat range, frequently landing it behind the PQ and either the CAQ or PCQ depending on regional outcomes and vote efficiency. These dynamics, combined with the fragmented electoral map and ongoing campaign volatility, underpin trader consensus that the PLQ is the most likely party to finish third in seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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