Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding to roughly 23–24 percent and the Quebec Liberal Party near 20–22 percent. This positioning leaves the CAQ as the clearest contender for second-most seats, consistent with its stronger regional support outside Montreal and gains among older voters. The Liberals remain competitive in urban ridings but have lost ground overall, while the Conservatives and Québec solidaire trail further back in seat projections. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the CAQ the highest implied probability for second place, with other parties facing steeper barriers given the latest polling averages and seat models. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts could still alter regional dynamics before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于CAQ 64%
PLQ 19%
PQ 16%
PVQ <1%
$16,922 交易量
$16,922 交易量
2026-10-04
CAQ
64%
PLQ
19%
PQ
16%
PVQ
1%
QS
1%
PCQ
1%
CAQ 64%
PLQ 19%
PQ 16%
PVQ <1%
$16,922 交易量
$16,922 交易量
2026-10-04
CAQ
$4,536 交易量
64%
PLQ
$4,667 交易量
19%
PQ
$4,111 交易量
16%
PVQ
$1,226 交易量
1%
QS
$1,498 交易量
1%
PCQ
$884 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding to roughly 23–24 percent and the Quebec Liberal Party near 20–22 percent. This positioning leaves the CAQ as the clearest contender for second-most seats, consistent with its stronger regional support outside Montreal and gains among older voters. The Liberals remain competitive in urban ridings but have lost ground overall, while the Conservatives and Québec solidaire trail further back in seat projections. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the CAQ the highest implied probability for second place, with other parties facing steeper barriers given the latest polling averages and seat models. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts could still alter regional dynamics before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
交易量
$16,922结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding to roughly 23–24 percent and the Quebec Liberal Party near 20–22 percent. This positioning leaves the CAQ as the clearest contender for second-most seats, consistent with its stronger regional support outside Montreal and gains among older voters. The Liberals remain competitive in urban ridings but have lost ground overall, while the Conservatives and Québec solidaire trail further back in seat projections. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the CAQ the highest implied probability for second place, with other parties facing steeper barriers given the latest polling averages and seat models. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts could still alter regional dynamics before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$16,922结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRecent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding to roughly 23–24 percent and the Quebec Liberal Party near 20–22 percent. This positioning leaves the CAQ as the clearest contender for second-most seats, consistent with its stronger regional support outside Montreal and gains among older voters. The Liberals remain competitive in urban ridings but have lost ground overall, while the Conservatives and Québec solidaire trail further back in seat projections. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the CAQ the highest implied probability for second place, with other parties facing steeper barriers given the latest polling averages and seat models. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts could still alter regional dynamics before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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