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icon for Falealili 1补选获胜者
世界·萨摩亚

Falealili 1补选获胜者

icon for Falealili 1补选获胜者
世界·萨摩亚

Falealili 1补选获胜者

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 37%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 26%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 24%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 6.6%

Polymarket

$13,505 交易量

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 37%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 26%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 24%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 6.6%

Polymarket

$13,505 交易量

icon for Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$2,192 交易量

37%

icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$6,576 交易量

26%

icon for Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$3,420 交易量

20%

icon for Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$939 交易量

7%

icon for Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$71 交易量

5%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$154 交易量

4%

icon for 帕特亚·塔韦乌韦乌·塔阿玛勒托阿·艾波维·帕特亚

帕特亚·塔韦乌韦乌·塔阿玛勒托阿·艾波维·帕特亚

$183 交易量

4%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 seat, scheduled for 18 September 2026, follows the Court of Appeal’s upholding of rulings that voided former Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 FAST victory over bribery allegations. FAST has nominated four candidates, including frontrunner Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale, while HRPP fields Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko returns as a contender; several independents complete a fragmented field. Pre-polling begins 16 September, with no public polling available to clarify preferences. Trader consensus reflects the multi-candidate dynamics and potential for vote splitting among major-party supporters, keeping probabilities closely matched until final-week campaigning or turnout signals emerge.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
交易量
$13,505
结束日期
2026-09-18
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

结算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 seat, scheduled for 18 September 2026, follows the Court of Appeal’s upholding of rulings that voided former Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 FAST victory over bribery allegations. FAST has nominated four candidates, including frontrunner Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale, while HRPP fields Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko returns as a contender; several independents complete a fragmented field. Pre-polling begins 16 September, with no public polling available to clarify preferences. Trader consensus reflects the multi-candidate dynamics and potential for vote splitting among major-party supporters, keeping probabilities closely matched until final-week campaigning or turnout signals emerge.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
交易量
$13,505
结束日期
2026-09-18
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

结算方

0x69c47De9D...

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常见问题

"Falealili 1补选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale"，概率为 37%，其次是"Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu"，概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 37¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 37%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Falealili 1补选获胜者"已产生 $13.5K 的总交易量（自Aug 31, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Falealili 1补选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Falealili 1补选获胜者"的当前领先者是"Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale"，概率为 37%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 37%。紧随其后的结果是"Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu"，概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Falealili 1补选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。