The by-election for Tonga's Niua 17 constituency, scheduled for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court voiding of former MP Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 win on bribery grounds, which led to his unseating and a five-year bar from contesting. Five candidates registered after nominations closed in early September: ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and Sitiveni Selui, each drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency. With first-past-the-post voting and support likely split along village lines in this remote electorate, no single contender has emerged as dominant. Trader consensus on the fragmented field reflects this uncertainty, where modest shifts in local turnout or last-minute endorsements could consolidate votes and alter outcomes ahead of polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 46%
‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau 43%
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 41%
Sitiveni Selui 40%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
46%
‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau
43%
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
41%
Sitiveni Selui
40%
Sione Tuifio Hui
39%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 46%
‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau 43%
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 41%
Sitiveni Selui 40%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
46%
‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau
43%
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
41%
Sitiveni Selui
40%
Sione Tuifio Hui
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
The by-election for Tonga's Niua 17 constituency, scheduled for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court voiding of former MP Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 win on bribery grounds, which led to his unseating and a five-year bar from contesting. Five candidates registered after nominations closed in early September: ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and Sitiveni Selui, each drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency. With first-past-the-post voting and support likely split along village lines in this remote electorate, no single contender has emerged as dominant. Trader consensus on the fragmented field reflects this uncertainty, where modest shifts in local turnout or last-minute endorsements could consolidate votes and alter outcomes ahead of polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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