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icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
选举·加拿大

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
选举·加拿大

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Sylvie Tanguay 45%

Geneviève Hébert 35%

Jacqueline Belleau 10%

Mia Fréchette 9%

Polymarket
最新

Sylvie Tanguay 45%

Geneviève Hébert 35%

Jacqueline Belleau 10%

Mia Fréchette 9%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Sylvie Tanguay

Sylvie Tanguay

$916 交易量

45%

icon for Geneviève Hébert

Geneviève Hébert

$1,391 交易量

35%

icon for Jacqueline Belleau

Jacqueline Belleau

$845 交易量

10%

icon for Mia Fréchette

Mia Fréchette

$957 交易量

9%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely matched probabilities for Sylvie Tanguay of the Parti Québécois and incumbent Geneviève Hébert of the Coalition Avenir Québec reflect a competitive race in the Saint-François riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Recent projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 show the PQ leading on popular vote estimates in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, ahead of the CAQ, amid broader provincial shifts following the writ drop on August 27. Tanguay's background as a nurse and health-care focus, Hébert's record on regional investments including hospital projects, and the presence of Liberal Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette add to the contest. Boundary adjustments in Estrie and the approaching nomination deadline on September 17 keep the outcome sensitive to late campaign developments in turnout and voter priorities.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$4,109
结束日期
2026-10-05
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

结算来源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

结算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely matched probabilities for Sylvie Tanguay of the Parti Québécois and incumbent Geneviève Hébert of the Coalition Avenir Québec reflect a competitive race in the Saint-François riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Recent projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 show the PQ leading on popular vote estimates in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, ahead of the CAQ, amid broader provincial shifts following the writ drop on August 27. Tanguay's background as a nurse and health-care focus, Hébert's record on regional investments including hospital projects, and the presence of Liberal Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette add to the contest. Boundary adjustments in Estrie and the approaching nomination deadline on September 17 keep the outcome sensitive to late campaign developments in turnout and voter priorities.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$4,109
结束日期
2026-10-05
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

结算来源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

结算方

0x69c47De9D...

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常见问题

"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Sylvie Tanguay"，概率为 45%，其次是"Geneviève Hébert"，概率为 35%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 45¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Aug 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner"的当前领先者是"Sylvie Tanguay"，概率为 45%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 45%。紧随其后的结果是"Geneviève Hébert"，概率为 35%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。