Incumbent Mayor Kevin Ashe holds the leading trader consensus at 59 percent in the October 26, 2026 Pickering mayoral election, supported by his record since winning the 2022 contest and family ties to local politics. The field of certified challengers, including Janice Frampton (second in 2022 at 26.5 percent implied probability), Doug Cornell, Lisa Robinson, Shaun Rickard, Zargham Rasool, and Andrea Wood, remains fragmented after nominations closed in late August. A late-August controversy over a private email urging withdrawals to favor a candidate of colour generated backlash but has not produced measurable separation in pricing. With no recent public polls available and roughly six weeks until voting, local priorities such as jobs, development, and fiscal management continue to shape the competitive dynamics among lower-probability options.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于凯文·阿什 59%
贾尼斯·弗兰普顿 23%
道格·康奈尔 5%
扎尔甘·拉苏尔 5%

凯文·阿什
59%

贾尼斯·弗兰普顿
26%

道格·康奈尔
5%

扎尔甘·拉苏尔
5%

Shaun Rickard
5%

莉萨·罗宾逊
2%

安德里娅·伍德
<1%
凯文·阿什 59%
贾尼斯·弗兰普顿 23%
道格·康奈尔 5%
扎尔甘·拉苏尔 5%

凯文·阿什
59%

贾尼斯·弗兰普顿
26%

道格·康奈尔
5%

扎尔甘·拉苏尔
5%

Shaun Rickard
5%

莉萨·罗宾逊
2%

安德里娅·伍德
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Pickering, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Pickering, Ontario.
Incumbent Mayor Kevin Ashe holds the leading trader consensus at 59 percent in the October 26, 2026 Pickering mayoral election, supported by his record since winning the 2022 contest and family ties to local politics. The field of certified challengers, including Janice Frampton (second in 2022 at 26.5 percent implied probability), Doug Cornell, Lisa Robinson, Shaun Rickard, Zargham Rasool, and Andrea Wood, remains fragmented after nominations closed in late August. A late-August controversy over a private email urging withdrawals to favor a candidate of colour generated backlash but has not produced measurable separation in pricing. With no recent public polls available and roughly six weeks until voting, local priorities such as jobs, development, and fiscal management continue to shape the competitive dynamics among lower-probability options.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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