Recent August core CPI data printed at 2.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and marking a decline from July’s 2.5%, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 2.39% for September. This moderation, driven by easing goods prices and steady but not accelerating services inflation, underpins the 46.5% market-implied probability for a 2.4% print, ahead of 2.5% at 25.5%. Persistent shelter costs and recent energy pressures have kept underlying inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, prompting the FOMC’s September 16 rate hike to 3.75-4.00%. Traders are pricing limited further downside before the October 14 release, with outcomes clustered between 2.3% and 2.6% reflecting the data’s recent trajectory and sticky components.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.4% 47%
2.5% 26%
2.3% 16%
2.6% 9%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤2.0%
3%
2.1%
2%
2.2%
3%
2.3%
16%
2.4%
47%
2.5%
26%
2.6%
9%
2.7%
4%
2.8%
4%
≥2.9%
3%
2.4% 47%
2.5% 26%
2.3% 16%
2.6% 9%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤2.0%
$171 交易量
3%
2.1%
$171 交易量
2%
2.2%
$217 交易量
3%
2.3%
$1,045 交易量
16%
2.4%
$1,845 交易量
47%
2.5%
$576 交易量
26%
2.6%
$311 交易量
9%
2.7%
$211 交易量
4%
2.8%
$171 交易量
4%
≥2.9%
$378 交易量
3%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI data printed at 2.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and marking a decline from July’s 2.5%, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 2.39% for September. This moderation, driven by easing goods prices and steady but not accelerating services inflation, underpins the 46.5% market-implied probability for a 2.4% print, ahead of 2.5% at 25.5%. Persistent shelter costs and recent energy pressures have kept underlying inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, prompting the FOMC’s September 16 rate hike to 3.75-4.00%. Traders are pricing limited further downside before the October 14 release, with outcomes clustered between 2.3% and 2.6% reflecting the data’s recent trajectory and sticky components.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,096结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETThis is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI data printed at 2.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and marking a decline from July’s 2.5%, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 2.39% for September. This moderation, driven by easing goods prices and steady but not accelerating services inflation, underpins the 46.5% market-implied probability for a 2.4% print, ahead of 2.5% at 25.5%. Persistent shelter costs and recent energy pressures have kept underlying inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, prompting the FOMC’s September 16 rate hike to 3.75-4.00%. Traders are pricing limited further downside before the October 14 release, with outcomes clustered between 2.3% and 2.6% reflecting the data’s recent trajectory and sticky components.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$5,096结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETRecent August core CPI data printed at 2.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and marking a decline from July’s 2.5%, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast pointing to 2.39% for September. This moderation, driven by easing goods prices and steady but not accelerating services inflation, underpins the 46.5% market-implied probability for a 2.4% print, ahead of 2.5% at 25.5%. Persistent shelter costs and recent energy pressures have kept underlying inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, prompting the FOMC’s September 16 rate hike to 3.75-4.00%. Traders are pricing limited further downside before the October 14 release, with outcomes clustered between 2.3% and 2.6% reflecting the data’s recent trajectory and sticky components.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题