Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 trades at an 81.3% implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%, reflecting sustained upward pressure from energy prices amid the Middle East conflict. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed the annual average at 3.0%, revised higher by 0.4 percentage points from March due to elevated energy and food assumptions, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% expected through year-end. Recent data reinforce this path: the August 2026 flash estimate reached 3.3%, up from 2.9% in July and the highest reading in nearly three years, driven by a 14.3% energy component surge. Professional forecasters in the Q3 2026 SPF anticipate 2.7%, yet market-implied odds embed the risk of further energy-driven upside through the remainder of the year. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any ECB policy signals on rate adjustments will continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the full-year outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.1%及以上 81.3%
2.8-3.0% 8.3%
1.0–1.2% 2.5%
2.5–2.7% 1.9%
$112,517 交易量
$112,517 交易量
2027-01-18
低于1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
3%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
<1%
2.2–2.4%
<1%
2.5–2.7%
2%
2.8-3.0%
8%
3.1%及以上
81%
3.1%及以上 81.3%
2.8-3.0% 8.3%
1.0–1.2% 2.5%
2.5–2.7% 1.9%
$112,517 交易量
$112,517 交易量
2027-01-18
低于1.0%
$5,110 交易量
<1%
1.0–1.2%
$16,434 交易量
3%
1.3–1.5%
$16,398 交易量
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$3,572 交易量
1%
1.9–2.1%
$26,053 交易量
<1%
2.2–2.4%
$5,261 交易量
<1%
2.5–2.7%
$7,894 交易量
2%
2.8-3.0%
$17,110 交易量
8%
3.1%及以上
$14,686 交易量
81%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 trades at an 81.3% implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%, reflecting sustained upward pressure from energy prices amid the Middle East conflict. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed the annual average at 3.0%, revised higher by 0.4 percentage points from March due to elevated energy and food assumptions, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% expected through year-end. Recent data reinforce this path: the August 2026 flash estimate reached 3.3%, up from 2.9% in July and the highest reading in nearly three years, driven by a 14.3% energy component surge. Professional forecasters in the Q3 2026 SPF anticipate 2.7%, yet market-implied odds embed the risk of further energy-driven upside through the remainder of the year. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any ECB policy signals on rate adjustments will continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the full-year outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$112,517结束日期
2027-01-19市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 trades at an 81.3% implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%, reflecting sustained upward pressure from energy prices amid the Middle East conflict. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed the annual average at 3.0%, revised higher by 0.4 percentage points from March due to elevated energy and food assumptions, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% expected through year-end. Recent data reinforce this path: the August 2026 flash estimate reached 3.3%, up from 2.9% in July and the highest reading in nearly three years, driven by a 14.3% energy component surge. Professional forecasters in the Q3 2026 SPF anticipate 2.7%, yet market-implied odds embed the risk of further energy-driven upside through the remainder of the year. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any ECB policy signals on rate adjustments will continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the full-year outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
交易量
$112,517结束日期
2027-01-19市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETEurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 trades at an 81.3% implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%, reflecting sustained upward pressure from energy prices amid the Middle East conflict. The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed the annual average at 3.0%, revised higher by 0.4 percentage points from March due to elevated energy and food assumptions, with quarterly peaks near 3.4% expected through year-end. Recent data reinforce this path: the August 2026 flash estimate reached 3.3%, up from 2.9% in July and the highest reading in nearly three years, driven by a 14.3% energy component surge. Professional forecasters in the Q3 2026 SPF anticipate 2.7%, yet market-implied odds embed the risk of further energy-driven upside through the remainder of the year. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and any ECB policy signals on rate adjustments will continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the full-year outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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