Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at 0.3% month-over-month—above the 0.2% consensus—has reinforced trader focus on persistent services and shelter pressures as the key driver for September’s reading. With the September 2026 figure due October 14, the 49.5% implied probability on a 0.2% print reflects expectations of moderation from August’s firm outcome, while the 21% chance of another 0.3% accounts for ongoing upside risks from oil above $100 per barrel and sticky core services. Markets price these outcomes against the Federal Reserve’s imminent September policy decision, where a quarter-point rate hike now carries roughly 87% odds following the August surprise. Broader context includes the year-over-year core rate easing to 2.4% in August alongside solid labor-market data, leaving room for a softer September print if goods deflation and rent trends reassert.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.2% 50%
0.3% 21%
0.1% 14%
≤0.0% 10%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
10%
0.1%
14%
0.2%
50%
0.3%
21%
0.4%
8%
0.5%
2%
0.6%及以上
5%
0.2% 50%
0.3% 21%
0.1% 14%
≤0.0% 10%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
$79 交易量
10%
0.1%
$241 交易量
14%
0.2%
$1,712 交易量
50%
0.3%
$1,738 交易量
21%
0.4%
$55 交易量
8%
0.5%
$118 交易量
2%
0.6%及以上
$162 交易量
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at 0.3% month-over-month—above the 0.2% consensus—has reinforced trader focus on persistent services and shelter pressures as the key driver for September’s reading. With the September 2026 figure due October 14, the 49.5% implied probability on a 0.2% print reflects expectations of moderation from August’s firm outcome, while the 21% chance of another 0.3% accounts for ongoing upside risks from oil above $100 per barrel and sticky core services. Markets price these outcomes against the Federal Reserve’s imminent September policy decision, where a quarter-point rate hike now carries roughly 87% odds following the August surprise. Broader context includes the year-over-year core rate easing to 2.4% in August alongside solid labor-market data, leaving room for a softer September print if goods deflation and rent trends reassert.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
交易量
$4,103结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETThis is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at 0.3% month-over-month—above the 0.2% consensus—has reinforced trader focus on persistent services and shelter pressures as the key driver for September’s reading. With the September 2026 figure due October 14, the 49.5% implied probability on a 0.2% print reflects expectations of moderation from August’s firm outcome, while the 21% chance of another 0.3% accounts for ongoing upside risks from oil above $100 per barrel and sticky core services. Markets price these outcomes against the Federal Reserve’s imminent September policy decision, where a quarter-point rate hike now carries roughly 87% odds following the August surprise. Broader context includes the year-over-year core rate easing to 2.4% in August alongside solid labor-market data, leaving room for a softer September print if goods deflation and rent trends reassert.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$4,103结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETRecent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at 0.3% month-over-month—above the 0.2% consensus—has reinforced trader focus on persistent services and shelter pressures as the key driver for September’s reading. With the September 2026 figure due October 14, the 49.5% implied probability on a 0.2% print reflects expectations of moderation from August’s firm outcome, while the 21% chance of another 0.3% accounts for ongoing upside risks from oil above $100 per barrel and sticky core services. Markets price these outcomes against the Federal Reserve’s imminent September policy decision, where a quarter-point rate hike now carries roughly 87% odds following the August surprise. Broader context includes the year-over-year core rate easing to 2.4% in August alongside solid labor-market data, leaving room for a softer September print if goods deflation and rent trends reassert.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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