Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 55-66% in first-round simulations across multiple institutes since March 2026, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 25-35%. Recent surveys from early September confirm this gap, with minor candidates like Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley registering under 3%. Active campaigning, including rallies and municipal visits in September, along with his wife's strong Senate positioning, has reinforced trader consensus on an outright or decisive victory ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential shifts could stem from late legal resolutions tied to prior health contract investigations or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments have narrowed the margin to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗尔兰博士 92%
克雷西奥·路易斯 4.1%
马科斯·雷塔吉 3.9%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗尔兰博士
92%
克雷西奥·路易斯
4%
马科斯·雷塔吉
4%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔
2%
卡洛斯·克莱
<1%
弗尔兰博士 92%
克雷西奥·路易斯 4.1%
马科斯·雷塔吉 3.9%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗尔兰博士
$6,944 交易量
92%
克雷西奥·路易斯
$318 交易量
4%
马科斯·雷塔吉
$214 交易量
4%
贾伊罗·帕尔赫塔
$374 交易量
2%
卡洛斯·克莱
$133 交易量
<1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 55-66% in first-round simulations across multiple institutes since March 2026, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 25-35%. Recent surveys from early September confirm this gap, with minor candidates like Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley registering under 3%. Active campaigning, including rallies and municipal visits in September, along with his wife's strong Senate positioning, has reinforced trader consensus on an outright or decisive victory ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential shifts could stem from late legal resolutions tied to prior health contract investigations or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments have narrowed the margin to date.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
交易量
$7,983结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETThe Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 55-66% in first-round simulations across multiple institutes since March 2026, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 25-35%. Recent surveys from early September confirm this gap, with minor candidates like Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley registering under 3%. Active campaigning, including rallies and municipal visits in September, along with his wife's strong Senate positioning, has reinforced trader consensus on an outright or decisive victory ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential shifts could stem from late legal resolutions tied to prior health contract investigations or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments have narrowed the margin to date.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$7,983结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETDr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 55-66% in first-round simulations across multiple institutes since March 2026, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 25-35%. Recent surveys from early September confirm this gap, with minor candidates like Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley registering under 3%. Active campaigning, including rallies and municipal visits in September, along with his wife's strong Senate positioning, has reinforced trader consensus on an outright or decisive victory ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential shifts could stem from late legal resolutions tied to prior health contract investigations or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments have narrowed the margin to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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