Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for top position among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with Cristina Graeml (PSD) also competitive in some surveys. Right-leaning fragmentation across multiple candidacies splits conservative support, while Gleisi anchors the left and undecided voters remain elevated near or above 20-40% in late August and early September readings. Deltan’s ongoing eligibility proceedings add uncertainty. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the two-vote Senate structure, where small shifts in alliances, court rulings on candidacies, or late campaign momentum could reorder the field before the October 4 first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Alexandre Curi 35%
Deltan Dallagnol 31%
Filipe Barros 27%
Gleisi 8.8%
$40,217 交易量
$40,217 交易量
2026-10-04
Alexandre Curi
35%
Deltan Dallagnol
31%
Filipe Barros
27%
Gleisi
8%
Karen Guerreiro
1%
Dr. Rosinha
1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Alexandre Curi 35%
Deltan Dallagnol 31%
Filipe Barros 27%
Gleisi 8.8%
$40,217 交易量
$40,217 交易量
2026-10-04
Alexandre Curi
$9,143 交易量
35%
Deltan Dallagnol
$21,300 交易量
31%
Filipe Barros
$6,215 交易量
27%
Gleisi
$1,337 交易量
8%
Karen Guerreiro
$508 交易量
1%
Dr. Rosinha
$355 交易量
1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$399 交易量
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$570 交易量
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$388 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for top position among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with Cristina Graeml (PSD) also competitive in some surveys. Right-leaning fragmentation across multiple candidacies splits conservative support, while Gleisi anchors the left and undecided voters remain elevated near or above 20-40% in late August and early September readings. Deltan’s ongoing eligibility proceedings add uncertainty. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the two-vote Senate structure, where small shifts in alliances, court rulings on candidacies, or late campaign momentum could reorder the field before the October 4 first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
交易量
$40,217结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for top position among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with Cristina Graeml (PSD) also competitive in some surveys. Right-leaning fragmentation across multiple candidacies splits conservative support, while Gleisi anchors the left and undecided voters remain elevated near or above 20-40% in late August and early September readings. Deltan’s ongoing eligibility proceedings add uncertainty. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the two-vote Senate structure, where small shifts in alliances, court rulings on candidacies, or late campaign momentum could reorder the field before the October 4 first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$40,217结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETRecent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight contest for top position among Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with Cristina Graeml (PSD) also competitive in some surveys. Right-leaning fragmentation across multiple candidacies splits conservative support, while Gleisi anchors the left and undecided voters remain elevated near or above 20-40% in late August and early September readings. Deltan’s ongoing eligibility proceedings add uncertainty. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the two-vote Senate structure, where small shifts in alliances, court rulings on candidacies, or late campaign momentum could reorder the field before the October 4 first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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