Traders price the Acre Senate race's second-place outcome as tightly contested due to a fragmented field where multiple candidates draw comparable support in recent surveys. Polling from June through late August shows Gladson Camelí (PP), Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or statistical ties within margins of error, reflecting strong name recognition, established party coalitions, and regional voting patterns across the state's dual-seat contest. Camelí's resignation from the governorship and ongoing eligibility proceedings have introduced additional uncertainty without producing clear separation. With the October 4 election still weeks away and limited late-cycle polling available, shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or coalition alignments could alter second-place positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马尔西奥·比塔尔 44.0%
玛拉·罗查 35%
格拉德森·卡梅利 10%
若热·维亚纳 9.5%
$36,092 交易量
$36,092 交易量
2026-10-04
马尔西奥·比塔尔
44%
玛拉·罗查
35%
格拉德森·卡梅利
10%
若热·维亚纳
8%
Petecão
1%
小小费托萨博士
<1%
爱德华多·韦洛索
<1%
伊纳西奥·莫雷拉教授
<1%
马尔西奥·比塔尔 44.0%
玛拉·罗查 35%
格拉德森·卡梅利 10%
若热·维亚纳 9.5%
$36,092 交易量
$36,092 交易量
2026-10-04
马尔西奥·比塔尔
$7,068 交易量
44%
玛拉·罗查
$13,243 交易量
35%
格拉德森·卡梅利
$10,685 交易量
10%
若热·维亚纳
$1,181 交易量
8%
Petecão
$1,775 交易量
1%
小小费托萨博士
$776 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·韦洛索
$696 交易量
<1%
伊纳西奥·莫雷拉教授
$668 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Traders price the Acre Senate race's second-place outcome as tightly contested due to a fragmented field where multiple candidates draw comparable support in recent surveys. Polling from June through late August shows Gladson Camelí (PP), Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or statistical ties within margins of error, reflecting strong name recognition, established party coalitions, and regional voting patterns across the state's dual-seat contest. Camelí's resignation from the governorship and ongoing eligibility proceedings have introduced additional uncertainty without producing clear separation. With the October 4 election still weeks away and limited late-cycle polling available, shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or coalition alignments could alter second-place positioning before resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
交易量
$36,092结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Traders price the Acre Senate race's second-place outcome as tightly contested due to a fragmented field where multiple candidates draw comparable support in recent surveys. Polling from June through late August shows Gladson Camelí (PP), Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or statistical ties within margins of error, reflecting strong name recognition, established party coalitions, and regional voting patterns across the state's dual-seat contest. Camelí's resignation from the governorship and ongoing eligibility proceedings have introduced additional uncertainty without producing clear separation. With the October 4 election still weeks away and limited late-cycle polling available, shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or coalition alignments could alter second-place positioning before resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$36,092结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETTraders price the Acre Senate race's second-place outcome as tightly contested due to a fragmented field where multiple candidates draw comparable support in recent surveys. Polling from June through late August shows Gladson Camelí (PP), Márcio Bittar (PL), Mara Rocha (Republicanos), and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or statistical ties within margins of error, reflecting strong name recognition, established party coalitions, and regional voting patterns across the state's dual-seat contest. Camelí's resignation from the governorship and ongoing eligibility proceedings have introduced additional uncertainty without producing clear separation. With the October 4 election still weeks away and limited late-cycle polling available, shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or coalition alignments could alter second-place positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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