Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds the dominant position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from late August shows him leading with around 40% support against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC) each below 6%. Fábio's incumbency, established party structure, and campaign focus on state infrastructure have contributed to trader consensus around his strong frontrunner status. Valmir remains the main challenger but trails notably in the latest surveys, while the remaining candidates register minimal support. Any late shifts in voter turnout or coalition alignments could still influence the final outcome before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法比奥 90%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥 11%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯 <1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔 <1%
$19,773 交易量
$19,773 交易量
2026-10-04
法比奥
90%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥
11%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯
<1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔
<1%
埃尔顿博士
<1%
里卡多·马尔克斯
<1%
法比奥 90%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥 11%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯 <1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔 <1%
$19,773 交易量
$19,773 交易量
2026-10-04
法比奥
$15,659 交易量
90%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥
$1,717 交易量
11%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯
$637 交易量
<1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔
$618 交易量
<1%
埃尔顿博士
$699 交易量
<1%
里卡多·马尔克斯
$443 交易量
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds the dominant position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from late August shows him leading with around 40% support against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC) each below 6%. Fábio's incumbency, established party structure, and campaign focus on state infrastructure have contributed to trader consensus around his strong frontrunner status. Valmir remains the main challenger but trails notably in the latest surveys, while the remaining candidates register minimal support. Any late shifts in voter turnout or coalition alignments could still influence the final outcome before ballots close.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
交易量
$19,773结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETThe Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds the dominant position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from late August shows him leading with around 40% support against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC) each below 6%. Fábio's incumbency, established party structure, and campaign focus on state infrastructure have contributed to trader consensus around his strong frontrunner status. Valmir remains the main challenger but trails notably in the latest surveys, while the remaining candidates register minimal support. Any late shifts in voter turnout or coalition alignments could still influence the final outcome before ballots close.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$19,773结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETFábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds the dominant position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling from late August shows him leading with around 40% support against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC) each below 6%. Fábio's incumbency, established party structure, and campaign focus on state infrastructure have contributed to trader consensus around his strong frontrunner status. Valmir remains the main challenger but trails notably in the latest surveys, while the remaining candidates register minimal support. Any late shifts in voter turnout or coalition alignments could still influence the final outcome before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题