Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing, reflecting his consistent first-round polling edge over incumbent Elmano de Freitas despite recent narrowing gaps. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Ciro ahead or tied within margins of error, with his support ranging 43-48% and Elmano’s 34-46%. The contest remains polarized between the former governor’s center-right alliances, including PL and União backing, and Elmano’s PT-aligned coalition with Lula administration support. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible shares. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff on October 25, voter turnout, undecideds exceeding 10% in several polls, and final campaign momentum will determine whether the race stays tight or consolidates around the frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,112 交易量
$216,112 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
62%
Elmano de Freitas
38%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,112 交易量
$216,112 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$102,109 交易量
62%
Elmano de Freitas
$43,123 交易量
38%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 交易量
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$16,424 交易量
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing, reflecting his consistent first-round polling edge over incumbent Elmano de Freitas despite recent narrowing gaps. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Ciro ahead or tied within margins of error, with his support ranging 43-48% and Elmano’s 34-46%. The contest remains polarized between the former governor’s center-right alliances, including PL and União backing, and Elmano’s PT-aligned coalition with Lula administration support. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible shares. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff on October 25, voter turnout, undecideds exceeding 10% in several polls, and final campaign momentum will determine whether the race stays tight or consolidates around the frontrunners.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$216,112结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETThe Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing, reflecting his consistent first-round polling edge over incumbent Elmano de Freitas despite recent narrowing gaps. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Ciro ahead or tied within margins of error, with his support ranging 43-48% and Elmano’s 34-46%. The contest remains polarized between the former governor’s center-right alliances, including PL and União backing, and Elmano’s PT-aligned coalition with Lula administration support. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible shares. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff on October 25, voter turnout, undecideds exceeding 10% in several polls, and final campaign momentum will determine whether the race stays tight or consolidates around the frontrunners.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$216,112结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETCiro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in trader pricing, reflecting his consistent first-round polling edge over incumbent Elmano de Freitas despite recent narrowing gaps. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Ciro ahead or tied within margins of error, with his support ranging 43-48% and Elmano’s 34-46%. The contest remains polarized between the former governor’s center-right alliances, including PL and União backing, and Elmano’s PT-aligned coalition with Lula administration support. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible shares. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff on October 25, voter turnout, undecideds exceeding 10% in several polls, and final campaign momentum will determine whether the race stays tight or consolidates around the frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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