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icon for 罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名

罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名

icon for 罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名

罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名

Nicoletti 51.6%

Teresa Surita 26%

Helena da Asatur 19.1%

Chico Rodrigues 3.3%

Polymarket

$62,375 交易量

Nicoletti 51.6%

Teresa Surita 26%

Helena da Asatur 19.1%

Chico Rodrigues 3.3%

Polymarket

$62,375 交易量

icon for Nicoletti

Nicoletti

$11,121 交易量

52%

icon for Teresa Surita

Teresa Surita

$18,485 交易量

26%

icon for Helena da Asatur

Helena da Asatur

$4,672 交易量

19%

icon for Chico Rodrigues

Chico Rodrigues

$13,612 交易量

3%

icon for Helio Bolsonaro

Helio Bolsonaro

$8,898 交易量

3%

icon for Pastor Isamar

Pastor Isamar

$952 交易量

<1%

icon for Mario Rocha

Mario Rocha

$810 交易量

<1%

icon for Bartô Macuxi

Bartô Macuxi

$581 交易量

<1%

icon for Hilton Xavier

Hilton Xavier

$529 交易量

<1%

icon for Hiperion de Oliveira

Hiperion de Oliveira

$569 交易量

<1%

icon for Márcio Junqueira

Márcio Junqueira

$676 交易量

<1%

icon for Regina Tio Ivo

Regina Tio Ivo

$887 交易量

<1%

icon for Rogério Miranda

Rogério Miranda

$583 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent Quaest polling shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively for Roraima’s two Senate seats, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses.** This closeness, combined with voters selecting two candidates, keeps second-place probabilities tightly contested as small shifts in turnout, undecided consolidation, or late alliances can reorder the finish. The October 4 election date leaves limited time for further movement, while candidate positioning on issues such as security and resource policy continues to shape visibility among the fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects these polling dynamics and the inherent uncertainty in a high-undecided race.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$62,375
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent Quaest polling shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively for Roraima’s two Senate seats, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses.** This closeness, combined with voters selecting two candidates, keeps second-place probabilities tightly contested as small shifts in turnout, undecided consolidation, or late alliances can reorder the finish. The October 4 election date leaves limited time for further movement, while candidate positioning on issues such as security and resource policy continues to shape visibility among the fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects these polling dynamics and the inherent uncertainty in a high-undecided race.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$62,375
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

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常见问题

"罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Nicoletti",概率为 52%,其次是"Teresa Surita",概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 52¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 52%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名"已产生 $62.4K 的总交易量(自Aug 17, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名"的当前领先者是"Nicoletti",概率为 52%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 52%。紧随其后的结果是"Teresa Surita",概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"罗赖马州参议院选举:第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。