Lula holds a dominant position in Pernambuco for first-round presidential votes, backed by consistent polling leads of around 55% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 20-33% range in September surveys from AtlasIntel, Real Time, and others. The state's Northeast voter base has long favored the PT incumbent through economic ties, social programs, and regional alliances, with recent campaign visits and endorsements reinforcing this edge. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Lula reflects these entrenched patterns and the absence of major disruptions. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters could still alter outcomes before the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢拉 97.0%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 1.4%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥 <1%
$10,325 交易量
$10,325 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
97%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
<1%
泽马
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
帕布罗·马萨尔
<1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
卢拉 97.0%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 1.4%
雷南·桑托斯 <1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥 <1%
$10,325 交易量
$10,325 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
$6,107 交易量
97%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$402 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$329 交易量
<1%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
$334 交易量
<1%
泽马
$399 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
$344 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$344 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$333 交易量
<1%
帕布罗·马萨尔
$366 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·凯亚多
$421 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$344 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$301 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$300 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a dominant position in Pernambuco for first-round presidential votes, backed by consistent polling leads of around 55% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 20-33% range in September surveys from AtlasIntel, Real Time, and others. The state's Northeast voter base has long favored the PT incumbent through economic ties, social programs, and regional alliances, with recent campaign visits and endorsements reinforcing this edge. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Lula reflects these entrenched patterns and the absence of major disruptions. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters could still alter outcomes before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
交易量
$10,325结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a dominant position in Pernambuco for first-round presidential votes, backed by consistent polling leads of around 55% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 20-33% range in September surveys from AtlasIntel, Real Time, and others. The state's Northeast voter base has long favored the PT incumbent through economic ties, social programs, and regional alliances, with recent campaign visits and endorsements reinforcing this edge. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Lula reflects these entrenched patterns and the absence of major disruptions. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters could still alter outcomes before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$10,325结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETLula holds a dominant position in Pernambuco for first-round presidential votes, backed by consistent polling leads of around 55% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 20-33% range in September surveys from AtlasIntel, Real Time, and others. The state's Northeast voter base has long favored the PT incumbent through economic ties, social programs, and regional alliances, with recent campaign visits and endorsements reinforcing this edge. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Lula reflects these entrenched patterns and the absence of major disruptions. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts among undecided voters could still alter outcomes before the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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