Amanda McKinney secured the Republican nomination in Washington’s 4th Congressional District after leading the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 35 percent of the vote, ahead of Democrat John Duresky at 30 percent. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse, sits in a solidly Republican district that has favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles and carries Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. McKinney’s advantages include a Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising from aligned super PACs, and consolidation of conservative support against multiple GOP rivals. Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran, benefits from unified Democratic backing but trails significantly in a district where Republicans have historically dominated general elections. The November 3 contest remains on track for a Republican hold absent major late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen candidate events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$54,298 Обс.
$54,298 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Amanda McKinney (R)
92%
John Duresky (D)
8%
$54,298 Обс.
$54,298 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Amanda McKinney (R)
$30,916 Обс.
92%
John Duresky (D)
$23,382 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney secured the Republican nomination in Washington’s 4th Congressional District after leading the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 35 percent of the vote, ahead of Democrat John Duresky at 30 percent. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse, sits in a solidly Republican district that has favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles and carries Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. McKinney’s advantages include a Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising from aligned super PACs, and consolidation of conservative support against multiple GOP rivals. Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran, benefits from unified Democratic backing but trails significantly in a district where Republicans have historically dominated general elections. The November 3 contest remains on track for a Republican hold absent major late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen candidate events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$54,298Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney secured the Republican nomination in Washington’s 4th Congressional District after leading the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 35 percent of the vote, ahead of Democrat John Duresky at 30 percent. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse, sits in a solidly Republican district that has favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles and carries Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. McKinney’s advantages include a Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising from aligned super PACs, and consolidation of conservative support against multiple GOP rivals. Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran, benefits from unified Democratic backing but trails significantly in a district where Republicans have historically dominated general elections. The November 3 contest remains on track for a Republican hold absent major late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen candidate events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$54,298Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Amanda McKinney secured the Republican nomination in Washington’s 4th Congressional District after leading the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 35 percent of the vote, ahead of Democrat John Duresky at 30 percent. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse, sits in a solidly Republican district that has favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles and carries Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. McKinney’s advantages include a Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising from aligned super PACs, and consolidation of conservative support against multiple GOP rivals. Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran, benefits from unified Democratic backing but trails significantly in a district where Republicans have historically dominated general elections. The November 3 contest remains on track for a Republican hold absent major late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen candidate events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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