Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their May 19, 2026 primaries, with the general election set for November 3. Scanlon maintains substantial fundraising advantages and cash reserves compared to challenger Nicholas Manganaro, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure in the Philadelphia suburban district. Trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would alter the balance. Only unexpected late-cycle developments, such as major scandals or health-related withdrawals, could realistically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$37,067 Обс.
$37,067 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
98%
Nicholas Manganaro (R)
1%
$37,067 Обс.
$37,067 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
$12,557 Обс.
98%
Nicholas Manganaro (R)
$24,511 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their May 19, 2026 primaries, with the general election set for November 3. Scanlon maintains substantial fundraising advantages and cash reserves compared to challenger Nicholas Manganaro, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure in the Philadelphia suburban district. Trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would alter the balance. Only unexpected late-cycle developments, such as major scandals or health-related withdrawals, could realistically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,067Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their May 19, 2026 primaries, with the general election set for November 3. Scanlon maintains substantial fundraising advantages and cash reserves compared to challenger Nicholas Manganaro, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure in the Philadelphia suburban district. Trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would alter the balance. Only unexpected late-cycle developments, such as major scandals or health-related withdrawals, could realistically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$37,067Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their May 19, 2026 primaries, with the general election set for November 3. Scanlon maintains substantial fundraising advantages and cash reserves compared to challenger Nicholas Manganaro, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure in the Philadelphia suburban district. Trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would alter the balance. Only unexpected late-cycle developments, such as major scandals or health-related withdrawals, could realistically narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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