Shontel Brown holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Brown secured renomination easily in the May 2026 Democratic primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited challengers. Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, a retired actuary who prevailed in a low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential performance exceeded 77 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event for the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,426 Обс.
$38,426 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
1%
$38,426 Обс.
$38,426 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
$15,629 Обс.
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
$22,797 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Brown secured renomination easily in the May 2026 Democratic primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited challengers. Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, a retired actuary who prevailed in a low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential performance exceeded 77 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event for the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,426Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Brown secured renomination easily in the May 2026 Democratic primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited challengers. Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, a retired actuary who prevailed in a low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential performance exceeded 77 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event for the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$38,426Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Shontel Brown holds a commanding lead in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Brown secured renomination easily in the May 2026 Democratic primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited challengers. Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, a retired actuary who prevailed in a low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential performance exceeded 77 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event for the incumbent could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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