Recent polling from August 2026 shows 61-74% support for Alberta remaining a province of Canada versus 22-33% favoring steps toward a binding separation referendum, consistent with earlier surveys indicating roughly 25-30% backing for independence. The October 19 referendum asks voters to choose between remaining in Canada or authorizing the government to pursue constitutional steps for a future independence vote, a non-binding process that Premier Danielle Smith and her United Conservative Party have stated they oppose. Legal challenges from First Nations over unconsulted treaty rights, verification of competing citizen petitions exceeding signature thresholds, and requirements under the Clarity Act further constrain any path to secession. These factors align with trader pricing that assigns low probability to an affirmative independence outcome this year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
$272,825 ปริมาณ
$272,825 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
6% โอกาส
$272,825 ปริมาณ
$272,825 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling from August 2026 shows 61-74% support for Alberta remaining a province of Canada versus 22-33% favoring steps toward a binding separation referendum, consistent with earlier surveys indicating roughly 25-30% backing for independence. The October 19 referendum asks voters to choose between remaining in Canada or authorizing the government to pursue constitutional steps for a future independence vote, a non-binding process that Premier Danielle Smith and her United Conservative Party have stated they oppose. Legal challenges from First Nations over unconsulted treaty rights, verification of competing citizen petitions exceeding signature thresholds, and requirements under the Clarity Act further constrain any path to secession. These factors align with trader pricing that assigns low probability to an affirmative independence outcome this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272,825วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling from August 2026 shows 61-74% support for Alberta remaining a province of Canada versus 22-33% favoring steps toward a binding separation referendum, consistent with earlier surveys indicating roughly 25-30% backing for independence. The October 19 referendum asks voters to choose between remaining in Canada or authorizing the government to pursue constitutional steps for a future independence vote, a non-binding process that Premier Danielle Smith and her United Conservative Party have stated they oppose. Legal challenges from First Nations over unconsulted treaty rights, verification of competing citizen petitions exceeding signature thresholds, and requirements under the Clarity Act further constrain any path to secession. These factors align with trader pricing that assigns low probability to an affirmative independence outcome this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272,825วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from August 2026 shows 61-74% support for Alberta remaining a province of Canada versus 22-33% favoring steps toward a binding separation referendum, consistent with earlier surveys indicating roughly 25-30% backing for independence. The October 19 referendum asks voters to choose between remaining in Canada or authorizing the government to pursue constitutional steps for a future independence vote, a non-binding process that Premier Danielle Smith and her United Conservative Party have stated they oppose. Legal challenges from First Nations over unconsulted treaty rights, verification of competing citizen petitions exceeding signature thresholds, and requirements under the Clarity Act further constrain any path to secession. These factors align with trader pricing that assigns low probability to an affirmative independence outcome this year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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