Helder Barbalho maintains a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for first place, driven by consistent leads in multiple recent voter intention surveys from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. As the former two-term governor who stepped down to run, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition backing his MDB candidacy, and family political infrastructure in the state. Polls conducted in early September showed him ahead of main challengers such as Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União), with the second seat remaining more competitive. A September 11 electoral prosecutor opinion recommending ineligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization introduces legal uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, though registration challenges have not yet altered his dominant trader-implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHelder 82%
Delegado Éder Mauro 10.2%
Zequinha Marinho 2.9%
Edlaine Rodrigues 2.9%
$18,377 ปริมาณ
$18,377 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
82%
Delegado Éder Mauro
10%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
3%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Conti
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Chicão
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Helder 82%
Delegado Éder Mauro 10.2%
Zequinha Marinho 2.9%
Edlaine Rodrigues 2.9%
$18,377 ปริมาณ
$18,377 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$12,734 ปริมาณ
82%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$635 ปริมาณ
10%
Zequinha Marinho
$574 ปริมาณ
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$609 ปริมาณ
3%
Fernanda Lopes
$731 ปริมาณ
1%
Breno Guimarães
$534 ปริมาณ
1%
Celso Sabino
$504 ปริมาณ
1%
Conti
$556 ปริมาณ
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
$567 ปริมาณ
<1%
Chicão
$493 ปริมาณ
<1%
Willem da Silva
$441 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho maintains a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for first place, driven by consistent leads in multiple recent voter intention surveys from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. As the former two-term governor who stepped down to run, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition backing his MDB candidacy, and family political infrastructure in the state. Polls conducted in early September showed him ahead of main challengers such as Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União), with the second seat remaining more competitive. A September 11 electoral prosecutor opinion recommending ineligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization introduces legal uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, though registration challenges have not yet altered his dominant trader-implied probability.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,377วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho maintains a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for first place, driven by consistent leads in multiple recent voter intention surveys from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. As the former two-term governor who stepped down to run, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition backing his MDB candidacy, and family political infrastructure in the state. Polls conducted in early September showed him ahead of main challengers such as Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União), with the second seat remaining more competitive. A September 11 electoral prosecutor opinion recommending ineligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization introduces legal uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, though registration challenges have not yet altered his dominant trader-implied probability.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,377วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho maintains a commanding position in the Pará Senate race for first place, driven by consistent leads in multiple recent voter intention surveys from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. As the former two-term governor who stepped down to run, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition backing his MDB candidacy, and family political infrastructure in the state. Polls conducted in early September showed him ahead of main challengers such as Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União), with the second seat remaining more competitive. A September 11 electoral prosecutor opinion recommending ineligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization introduces legal uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, though registration challenges have not yet altered his dominant trader-implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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