Brazil's Senate holds over 100 pending impeachment requests against STF justices, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent Banco Master scandal revelations and internal court clashes involving André Mendonça. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance these petitions ahead of October 2026 elections that will reshape the chamber, while Lula-aligned senators maintain a reliable blocking minority. Removal requires a two-thirds Senate vote of 54 members, a threshold never met in modern Brazilian history for an STF justice. Traders price the near-certain "No" outcome on these procedural and political barriers. A post-election Senate realignment favoring opposition forces or an unforeseen escalation producing broad consensus could still open a narrow path before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว5% โอกาส
$88,177 ปริมาณ
$88,177 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
5% โอกาส
$88,177 ปริมาณ
$88,177 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate holds over 100 pending impeachment requests against STF justices, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent Banco Master scandal revelations and internal court clashes involving André Mendonça. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance these petitions ahead of October 2026 elections that will reshape the chamber, while Lula-aligned senators maintain a reliable blocking minority. Removal requires a two-thirds Senate vote of 54 members, a threshold never met in modern Brazilian history for an STF justice. Traders price the near-certain "No" outcome on these procedural and political barriers. A post-election Senate realignment favoring opposition forces or an unforeseen escalation producing broad consensus could still open a narrow path before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,177วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate holds over 100 pending impeachment requests against STF justices, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent Banco Master scandal revelations and internal court clashes involving André Mendonça. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance these petitions ahead of October 2026 elections that will reshape the chamber, while Lula-aligned senators maintain a reliable blocking minority. Removal requires a two-thirds Senate vote of 54 members, a threshold never met in modern Brazilian history for an STF justice. Traders price the near-certain "No" outcome on these procedural and political barriers. A post-election Senate realignment favoring opposition forces or an unforeseen escalation producing broad consensus could still open a narrow path before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,177วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate holds over 100 pending impeachment requests against STF justices, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent Banco Master scandal revelations and internal court clashes involving André Mendonça. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance these petitions ahead of October 2026 elections that will reshape the chamber, while Lula-aligned senators maintain a reliable blocking minority. Removal requires a two-thirds Senate vote of 54 members, a threshold never met in modern Brazilian history for an STF justice. Traders price the near-certain "No" outcome on these procedural and political barriers. A post-election Senate realignment favoring opposition forces or an unforeseen escalation producing broad consensus could still open a narrow path before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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