The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, giving the GOP nominee a structural edge reflected in trader consensus. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in June with a decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen, bolstered by President Trump’s endorsement and substantial self-funding that helped unify party support. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his primary comfortably but trails in most available polling, including a late-August survey showing Constantino ahead by double digits. Mixed earlier surveys and the district’s partisan composition continue to anchor Constantino’s stronger positioning ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$65,370 ปริมาณ
$65,370 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
74%
Blake Gendebien (D)
26%
$65,370 ปริมาณ
$65,370 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
$34,141 ปริมาณ
74%
Blake Gendebien (D)
$31,230 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, giving the GOP nominee a structural edge reflected in trader consensus. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in June with a decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen, bolstered by President Trump’s endorsement and substantial self-funding that helped unify party support. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his primary comfortably but trails in most available polling, including a late-August survey showing Constantino ahead by double digits. Mixed earlier surveys and the district’s partisan composition continue to anchor Constantino’s stronger positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,370วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, giving the GOP nominee a structural edge reflected in trader consensus. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in June with a decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen, bolstered by President Trump’s endorsement and substantial self-funding that helped unify party support. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his primary comfortably but trails in most available polling, including a late-August survey showing Constantino ahead by double digits. Mixed earlier surveys and the district’s partisan composition continue to anchor Constantino’s stronger positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,370วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024, giving the GOP nominee a structural edge reflected in trader consensus. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in June with a decisive primary win over state Assemblyman Robert Smullen, bolstered by President Trump’s endorsement and substantial self-funding that helped unify party support. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his primary comfortably but trails in most available polling, including a late-August survey showing Constantino ahead by double digits. Mixed earlier surveys and the district’s partisan composition continue to anchor Constantino’s stronger positioning ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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