Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMaranhão Senate Election: 1st Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 1st Place
Roseana Sarney 62%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.6%
Weverton Rocha 7.5%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,133 ปริมาณ
$26,133 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
62%
Lahesio Bonfim
12%
Weverton Rocha
8%
Fufuca
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Eliziane Gama
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Roseana Sarney 62%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.6%
Weverton Rocha 7.5%
Fufuca 6.8%
$26,133 ปริมาณ
$26,133 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$16,918 ปริมาณ
62%
Lahesio Bonfim
$3,795 ปริมาณ
12%
Weverton Rocha
$2,252 ปริมาณ
8%
Fufuca
$527 ปริมาณ
7%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$391 ปริมาณ
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 ปริมาณ
<1%
Eliziane Gama
$395 ปริมาณ
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$367 ปริมาณ
<1%
Wilson Leite
$389 ปริมาณ
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 ปริมาณ
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$282 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,133วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,133วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão Senate race for one of two seats elected October 4, with recent polls such as Quaest (late August) showing her at 16% consolidated support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11% and Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10%. Her lead reflects high name recognition from prior governorships and Senate service, plus an MDB-led coalition that formalized her candidacy in July following her recovery from cancer treatment. The fragmented field, including André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others with single-digit or lower shares, keeps the top two spots competitive, as voters select up to two candidates in a single round. Trader consensus on her first-place probability aligns with this polling edge and structural advantages, while lower odds for remaining names reflect limited momentum in the final pre-campaign window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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