Recent polling from institutes like Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a highly fragmented contest for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a narrow lead in consolidated first-and-second preferences while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain within the margin of error at 14-18%. Roughly 25-30% of voters stay undecided weeks before the October 4 election, and the dual-vote system amplifies small shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances among the eleven registered candidates. Trader pricing for second place reflects this volatility, as no contender has established a durable advantage in the second-preference distribution that determines the final ordering.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWeverton Rocha 36%
Lahesio Bonfim 24.8%
Fufuca 23%
Roseana Sarney 10%
$35,243 ปริมาณ
$35,243 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
36%
Lahesio Bonfim
23%
Fufuca
23%
Roseana Sarney
10%
Eliziane Gama
6%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 36%
Lahesio Bonfim 24.8%
Fufuca 23%
Roseana Sarney 10%
$35,243 ปริมาณ
$35,243 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
$13,089 ปริมาณ
36%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,311 ปริมาณ
23%
Fufuca
$5,749 ปริมาณ
23%
Roseana Sarney
$8,286 ปริมาณ
10%
Eliziane Gama
$1,639 ปริมาณ
6%
Raimundo Moreira
$621 ปริมาณ
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$692 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$995 ปริมาณ
<1%
Wilson Leite
$636 ปริมาณ
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$519 ปริมาณ
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes like Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a highly fragmented contest for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a narrow lead in consolidated first-and-second preferences while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain within the margin of error at 14-18%. Roughly 25-30% of voters stay undecided weeks before the October 4 election, and the dual-vote system amplifies small shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances among the eleven registered candidates. Trader pricing for second place reflects this volatility, as no contender has established a durable advantage in the second-preference distribution that determines the final ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,243วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes like Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a highly fragmented contest for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a narrow lead in consolidated first-and-second preferences while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain within the margin of error at 14-18%. Roughly 25-30% of voters stay undecided weeks before the October 4 election, and the dual-vote system amplifies small shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances among the eleven registered candidates. Trader pricing for second place reflects this volatility, as no contender has established a durable advantage in the second-preference distribution that determines the final ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,243วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes like Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a highly fragmented contest for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a narrow lead in consolidated first-and-second preferences while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain within the margin of error at 14-18%. Roughly 25-30% of voters stay undecided weeks before the October 4 election, and the dual-vote system amplifies small shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances among the eleven registered candidates. Trader pricing for second place reflects this volatility, as no contender has established a durable advantage in the second-preference distribution that determines the final ordering.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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