**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by reserve Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, is polling near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold in surveys released in the week before candidate lists closed on September 8.** Recent Channel 14 polling placed it at 2.1%, while i24NEWS/Direct Polls gave it four seats; other trackers show similar volatility between non-qualification and low-single-digit mandates. The party draws support mainly from Likud, Religious Zionism, and other nationalist voters, contributing to right-bloc fragmentation ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Netanyahu-aligned parties have sought mergers (such as Religious Zionism with Zehut) partly to stabilize the bloc against such splits. With roughly seven weeks remaining, small-party results remain sensitive to turnout shifts and late campaign dynamics, keeping trader consensus on fewer than four seats as the leading outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<4 55%
4-6 41%
7-9 7%
10+ 2.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4
55%
4-6
41%
7-9
7%
10+
2%
<4 55%
4-6 41%
7-9 7%
10+ 2.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$416 ปริมาณ
55%
4-6
$56 ปริมาณ
41%
7-9
$1,561 ปริมาณ
7%
10+
$546 ปริมาณ
2%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by reserve Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, is polling near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold in surveys released in the week before candidate lists closed on September 8.** Recent Channel 14 polling placed it at 2.1%, while i24NEWS/Direct Polls gave it four seats; other trackers show similar volatility between non-qualification and low-single-digit mandates. The party draws support mainly from Likud, Religious Zionism, and other nationalist voters, contributing to right-bloc fragmentation ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Netanyahu-aligned parties have sought mergers (such as Religious Zionism with Zehut) partly to stabilize the bloc against such splits. With roughly seven weeks remaining, small-party results remain sensitive to turnout shifts and late campaign dynamics, keeping trader consensus on fewer than four seats as the leading outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,579วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by reserve Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, is polling near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold in surveys released in the week before candidate lists closed on September 8.** Recent Channel 14 polling placed it at 2.1%, while i24NEWS/Direct Polls gave it four seats; other trackers show similar volatility between non-qualification and low-single-digit mandates. The party draws support mainly from Likud, Religious Zionism, and other nationalist voters, contributing to right-bloc fragmentation ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Netanyahu-aligned parties have sought mergers (such as Religious Zionism with Zehut) partly to stabilize the bloc against such splits. With roughly seven weeks remaining, small-party results remain sensitive to turnout shifts and late campaign dynamics, keeping trader consensus on fewer than four seats as the leading outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,579วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August 2026 by reserve Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, is polling near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold in surveys released in the week before candidate lists closed on September 8.** Recent Channel 14 polling placed it at 2.1%, while i24NEWS/Direct Polls gave it four seats; other trackers show similar volatility between non-qualification and low-single-digit mandates. The party draws support mainly from Likud, Religious Zionism, and other nationalist voters, contributing to right-bloc fragmentation ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Netanyahu-aligned parties have sought mergers (such as Religious Zionism with Zehut) partly to stabilize the bloc against such splits. With roughly seven weeks remaining, small-party results remain sensitive to turnout shifts and late campaign dynamics, keeping trader consensus on fewer than four seats as the leading outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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