Yisrael Beiteinu’s recent polling averages of roughly eight Knesset seats place its implied vote share near 6–7 percent, aligning with the market’s leading outcome. The party’s candidate list refresh in early September, featuring security veterans and October 7 survivors, has reinforced its appeal among secular and immigrant voters without shifting broader trends. Leader Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated exclusion of Benjamin Netanyahu from any future coalition, paired with surplus-vote agreements signed with Naftali Bennett’s Together party, has clarified its opposition stance while emphasizing universal conscription and an official inquiry into the October 7 attacks. These positions have sustained steady support in the low-to-mid single digits amid a fragmented right-wing field and competition from larger parties such as Likud and Otzma Yehudit. With the October 27 election approaching, no major polling movement has altered this range in the past month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6-7% 43%
5-6% 28%
7-8% 20%
<5% 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
19%
5-6%
28%
6-7%
49%
7-8%
18%
8%+
9%
6-7% 43%
5-6% 28%
7-8% 20%
<5% 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
$942 ปริมาณ
19%
5-6%
$139 ปริมาณ
28%
6-7%
$243 ปริมาณ
49%
7-8%
$158 ปริมาณ
18%
8%+
$67 ปริมาณ
9%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Yisrael Beiteinu’s recent polling averages of roughly eight Knesset seats place its implied vote share near 6–7 percent, aligning with the market’s leading outcome. The party’s candidate list refresh in early September, featuring security veterans and October 7 survivors, has reinforced its appeal among secular and immigrant voters without shifting broader trends. Leader Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated exclusion of Benjamin Netanyahu from any future coalition, paired with surplus-vote agreements signed with Naftali Bennett’s Together party, has clarified its opposition stance while emphasizing universal conscription and an official inquiry into the October 7 attacks. These positions have sustained steady support in the low-to-mid single digits amid a fragmented right-wing field and competition from larger parties such as Likud and Otzma Yehudit. With the October 27 election approaching, no major polling movement has altered this range in the past month.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,549วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Yisrael Beiteinu’s recent polling averages of roughly eight Knesset seats place its implied vote share near 6–7 percent, aligning with the market’s leading outcome. The party’s candidate list refresh in early September, featuring security veterans and October 7 survivors, has reinforced its appeal among secular and immigrant voters without shifting broader trends. Leader Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated exclusion of Benjamin Netanyahu from any future coalition, paired with surplus-vote agreements signed with Naftali Bennett’s Together party, has clarified its opposition stance while emphasizing universal conscription and an official inquiry into the October 7 attacks. These positions have sustained steady support in the low-to-mid single digits amid a fragmented right-wing field and competition from larger parties such as Likud and Otzma Yehudit. With the October 27 election approaching, no major polling movement has altered this range in the past month.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,549วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Yisrael Beiteinu’s recent polling averages of roughly eight Knesset seats place its implied vote share near 6–7 percent, aligning with the market’s leading outcome. The party’s candidate list refresh in early September, featuring security veterans and October 7 survivors, has reinforced its appeal among secular and immigrant voters without shifting broader trends. Leader Avigdor Lieberman’s repeated exclusion of Benjamin Netanyahu from any future coalition, paired with surplus-vote agreements signed with Naftali Bennett’s Together party, has clarified its opposition stance while emphasizing universal conscription and an official inquiry into the October 7 attacks. These positions have sustained steady support in the low-to-mid single digits amid a fragmented right-wing field and competition from larger parties such as Likud and Otzma Yehudit. With the October 27 election approaching, no major polling movement has altered this range in the past month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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