Jill Tokuda holds a commanding lead in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's 17.5-point margin there in 2024. As the two-term incumbent, Tokuda secured over 91 percent in her August 2026 Democratic primary against low-profile challengers, while Republican nominee Brenton Awa, the state Senate minority leader, advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Tokuda's fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition or recent events that have altered fundamentals. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of a major scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHI-02 House Election Winner
HI-02 House Election Winner
$63,531 ปริมาณ
$63,531 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jill Tokuda (D)
96%
Brenton Awa (R)
6%
$63,531 ปริมาณ
$63,531 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jill Tokuda (D)
$43,095 ปริมาณ
96%
Brenton Awa (R)
$20,436 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jill Tokuda holds a commanding lead in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's 17.5-point margin there in 2024. As the two-term incumbent, Tokuda secured over 91 percent in her August 2026 Democratic primary against low-profile challengers, while Republican nominee Brenton Awa, the state Senate minority leader, advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Tokuda's fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition or recent events that have altered fundamentals. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of a major scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,531วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jill Tokuda holds a commanding lead in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's 17.5-point margin there in 2024. As the two-term incumbent, Tokuda secured over 91 percent in her August 2026 Democratic primary against low-profile challengers, while Republican nominee Brenton Awa, the state Senate minority leader, advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Tokuda's fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition or recent events that have altered fundamentals. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of a major scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,531วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Jill Tokuda holds a commanding lead in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's 17.5-point margin there in 2024. As the two-term incumbent, Tokuda secured over 91 percent in her August 2026 Democratic primary against low-profile challengers, while Republican nominee Brenton Awa, the state Senate minority leader, advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Tokuda's fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition or recent events that have altered fundamentals. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of a major scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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