Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) hold nearly identical market odds for second place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate contest because recent polls show them locked in a technical tie behind leader Marília Arraes (PDT). The latest Quaest survey, conducted September 4–7, placed Arraes at 17 percent, Costa at 14 percent, and Mendonça at 11 percent when combining first and second preferences, all within the three-point margin of error. Earlier August and early-September readings recorded similar narrow gaps, with Mendonça registering modest gains while Costa remained stable. High undecided (27 percent) and blank/null (18 percent) shares, combined with polarized voter blocs tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race, keep the second-seat outcome fluid. Intensified campaigning on security and economic issues through early October could still shift preferences before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHumberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 42%
Marília Arraes 13.3%
Túlio Gadêlha 2.8%
$31,094 ปริมาณ
$31,094 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
43%
Mendonça Filho
42%
Marília Arraes
13%
Túlio Gadêlha
3%
Eduardo da Fonte
2%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Humberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 42%
Marília Arraes 13.3%
Túlio Gadêlha 2.8%
$31,094 ปริมาณ
$31,094 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,112 ปริมาณ
43%
Mendonça Filho
$8,246 ปริมาณ
42%
Marília Arraes
$5,337 ปริมาณ
13%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,430 ปริมาณ
3%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,511 ปริมาณ
2%
Samuel Timoteo
$834 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$806 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$773 ปริมาณ
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 ปริมาณ
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 ปริมาณ
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) hold nearly identical market odds for second place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate contest because recent polls show them locked in a technical tie behind leader Marília Arraes (PDT). The latest Quaest survey, conducted September 4–7, placed Arraes at 17 percent, Costa at 14 percent, and Mendonça at 11 percent when combining first and second preferences, all within the three-point margin of error. Earlier August and early-September readings recorded similar narrow gaps, with Mendonça registering modest gains while Costa remained stable. High undecided (27 percent) and blank/null (18 percent) shares, combined with polarized voter blocs tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race, keep the second-seat outcome fluid. Intensified campaigning on security and economic issues through early October could still shift preferences before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,094วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) hold nearly identical market odds for second place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate contest because recent polls show them locked in a technical tie behind leader Marília Arraes (PDT). The latest Quaest survey, conducted September 4–7, placed Arraes at 17 percent, Costa at 14 percent, and Mendonça at 11 percent when combining first and second preferences, all within the three-point margin of error. Earlier August and early-September readings recorded similar narrow gaps, with Mendonça registering modest gains while Costa remained stable. High undecided (27 percent) and blank/null (18 percent) shares, combined with polarized voter blocs tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race, keep the second-seat outcome fluid. Intensified campaigning on security and economic issues through early October could still shift preferences before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,094วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) hold nearly identical market odds for second place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate contest because recent polls show them locked in a technical tie behind leader Marília Arraes (PDT). The latest Quaest survey, conducted September 4–7, placed Arraes at 17 percent, Costa at 14 percent, and Mendonça at 11 percent when combining first and second preferences, all within the three-point margin of error. Earlier August and early-September readings recorded similar narrow gaps, with Mendonça registering modest gains while Costa remained stable. High undecided (27 percent) and blank/null (18 percent) shares, combined with polarized voter blocs tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race, keep the second-seat outcome fluid. Intensified campaigning on security and economic issues through early October could still shift preferences before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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