Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, driven by business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, has lifted market-implied odds for September toward the mid-54 to mid-55 range amid resilient consumer spending and summer seasonality. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring that could cap upside. Traders weigh sustained demand momentum against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, with key swing factors including labor market data and input cost trends ahead of the October 5 release. This closely contested pricing underscores uncertainty between expansion continuity and normalization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено54,0–54,9 33%
55,0 до 55,9 23%
От 57,0 до 57,9 21.1%
52,0 – 52,9 14.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
<51,0
1%
51,0–51,9
1%
52,0 – 52,9
15%
От 53,0 до 53,9
11%
54,0–54,9
33%
55,0 до 55,9
23%
От 56,0 до 56,9
10%
От 57,0 до 57,9
21%
58,0–58,9
9%
59,0+
8%
54,0–54,9 33%
55,0 до 55,9 23%
От 57,0 до 57,9 21.1%
52,0 – 52,9 14.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
<51,0
$832 Объем
1%
51,0–51,9
$127 Объем
1%
52,0 – 52,9
$127 Объем
15%
От 53,0 до 53,9
$370 Объем
11%
54,0–54,9
$3,857 Объем
33%
55,0 до 55,9
$168 Объем
23%
От 56,0 до 56,9
$669 Объем
10%
От 57,0 до 57,9
$1,917 Объем
21%
58,0–58,9
$139 Объем
9%
59,0+
$168 Объем
8%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, driven by business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, has lifted market-implied odds for September toward the mid-54 to mid-55 range amid resilient consumer spending and summer seasonality. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring that could cap upside. Traders weigh sustained demand momentum against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, with key swing factors including labor market data and input cost trends ahead of the October 5 release. This closely contested pricing underscores uncertainty between expansion continuity and normalization.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$8,373Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, driven by business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, has lifted market-implied odds for September toward the mid-54 to mid-55 range amid resilient consumer spending and summer seasonality. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring that could cap upside. Traders weigh sustained demand momentum against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, with key swing factors including labor market data and input cost trends ahead of the October 5 release. This closely contested pricing underscores uncertainty between expansion continuity and normalization.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$8,373Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, driven by business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, has lifted market-implied odds for September toward the mid-54 to mid-55 range amid resilient consumer spending and summer seasonality. Elevated prices paid at 72.6 reflect persistent tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures, while employment contraction at 47.8 signals cautious hiring that could cap upside. Traders weigh sustained demand momentum against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, with key swing factors including labor market data and input cost trends ahead of the October 5 release. This closely contested pricing underscores uncertainty between expansion continuity and normalization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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