The 30-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 5.28% as of September 9, 2026, faces upward pressure from resilient U.S. growth expectations tied to AI-driven capital demand, persistent headline inflation from energy shocks, and elevated Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion in national debt. Recent FOMC communications and the September 15-16 meeting—with its dot plot—remain central, as markets assess whether policy will stay on hold given sticky core readings around 2.5% YoY in July data. Treasury buyback expansions starting September 9 have provided limited relief, with yields rebounding amid heavy issuance and corporate borrowing competition. Traders monitor incoming CPI releases and labor data for signals on rate path expectations, which could influence near-term dips in long-end yields during the month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
Ниже 5,24%
74%
Ниже 5,21%
58%
Ниже 5,18%
35%
Ниже 5,15%
22%
Ниже 5,12%
6%
Ниже 5,09%
49%
Ниже 5,05%
3%
Ниже 5,00%
7%
Ниже 4,95%
6%
$9,311 Объем
Ниже 5,24%
$631 Объем
74%
Ниже 5,21%
$643 Объем
58%
Ниже 5,18%
$191 Объем
35%
Ниже 5,15%
$1,170 Объем
22%
Ниже 5,12%
$2,638 Объем
6%
Ниже 5,09%
$961 Объем
49%
Ниже 5,05%
$1,446 Объем
3%
Ниже 5,00%
$478 Объем
7%
Ниже 4,95%
$1,153 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 5.28% as of September 9, 2026, faces upward pressure from resilient U.S. growth expectations tied to AI-driven capital demand, persistent headline inflation from energy shocks, and elevated Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion in national debt. Recent FOMC communications and the September 15-16 meeting—with its dot plot—remain central, as markets assess whether policy will stay on hold given sticky core readings around 2.5% YoY in July data. Treasury buyback expansions starting September 9 have provided limited relief, with yields rebounding amid heavy issuance and corporate borrowing competition. Traders monitor incoming CPI releases and labor data for signals on rate path expectations, which could influence near-term dips in long-end yields during the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Объем
$9,311Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 5.28% as of September 9, 2026, faces upward pressure from resilient U.S. growth expectations tied to AI-driven capital demand, persistent headline inflation from energy shocks, and elevated Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion in national debt. Recent FOMC communications and the September 15-16 meeting—with its dot plot—remain central, as markets assess whether policy will stay on hold given sticky core readings around 2.5% YoY in July data. Treasury buyback expansions starting September 9 have provided limited relief, with yields rebounding amid heavy issuance and corporate borrowing competition. Traders monitor incoming CPI releases and labor data for signals on rate path expectations, which could influence near-term dips in long-end yields during the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Объем
$9,311Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 5.28% as of September 9, 2026, faces upward pressure from resilient U.S. growth expectations tied to AI-driven capital demand, persistent headline inflation from energy shocks, and elevated Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion in national debt. Recent FOMC communications and the September 15-16 meeting—with its dot plot—remain central, as markets assess whether policy will stay on hold given sticky core readings around 2.5% YoY in July data. Treasury buyback expansions starting September 9 have provided limited relief, with yields rebounding amid heavy issuance and corporate borrowing competition. Traders monitor incoming CPI releases and labor data for signals on rate path expectations, which could influence near-term dips in long-end yields during the month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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