The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.36-5.37% in early September 2026, its highest level since 2007, driven primarily by heavy fiscal supply, a widening federal deficit now projected near $2.1 trillion by the CBO, and competing corporate bond issuance tied to AI infrastructure spending. These factors have elevated the term premium even as August CPI held steady at 3.4% and core measures aligned with forecasts. Strong demand at the September 10 auction, which cleared at a 5.308% high yield, has not reversed the upward trend. Markets currently price roughly 70% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting amid hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh, sustaining pressure on long-end yields through the balance of the month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$16,406 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
5,60%
3%
5,55%
3%
5,50%
25%
5,45%
33%
5,42%
59%
5,39%
78%
$16,406 Объем
5,60%
$2,131 Объем
3%
5,55%
$3,353 Объем
3%
5,50%
$2,209 Объем
25%
5,45%
$335 Объем
33%
5,42%
$181 Объем
59%
5,39%
$623 Объем
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.36-5.37% in early September 2026, its highest level since 2007, driven primarily by heavy fiscal supply, a widening federal deficit now projected near $2.1 trillion by the CBO, and competing corporate bond issuance tied to AI infrastructure spending. These factors have elevated the term premium even as August CPI held steady at 3.4% and core measures aligned with forecasts. Strong demand at the September 10 auction, which cleared at a 5.308% high yield, has not reversed the upward trend. Markets currently price roughly 70% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting amid hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh, sustaining pressure on long-end yields through the balance of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Объем
$16,406Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.36-5.37% in early September 2026, its highest level since 2007, driven primarily by heavy fiscal supply, a widening federal deficit now projected near $2.1 trillion by the CBO, and competing corporate bond issuance tied to AI infrastructure spending. These factors have elevated the term premium even as August CPI held steady at 3.4% and core measures aligned with forecasts. Strong demand at the September 10 auction, which cleared at a 5.308% high yield, has not reversed the upward trend. Markets currently price roughly 70% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting amid hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh, sustaining pressure on long-end yields through the balance of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Объем
$16,406Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.36-5.37% in early September 2026, its highest level since 2007, driven primarily by heavy fiscal supply, a widening federal deficit now projected near $2.1 trillion by the CBO, and competing corporate bond issuance tied to AI infrastructure spending. These factors have elevated the term premium even as August CPI held steady at 3.4% and core measures aligned with forecasts. Strong demand at the September 10 auction, which cleared at a 5.308% high yield, has not reversed the upward trend. Markets currently price roughly 70% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting amid hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh, sustaining pressure on long-end yields through the balance of the month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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