Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.
Экономика·UMich

Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.

icon for Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.
Экономика·UMich

Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.

сент. 25

сент. 25

46,0 до 48,9 74%

От 43,0 до 45,9 21%

От 49,0 до 51,9 4.0%

<43,0 3.5%

Polymarket

$10,806 Объем

46,0 до 48,9 74%

От 43,0 до 45,9 21%

От 49,0 до 51,9 4.0%

<43,0 3.5%

Polymarket

$10,806 Объем

<43,0

$755 Объем

4%

От 43,0 до 45,9

$1,521 Объем

21%

46,0 до 48,9

$5,784 Объем

74%

От 49,0 до 51,9

$595 Объем

4%

52,0–54,9

$470 Объем

<1%

55,0–57,9

$1,238 Объем

3%

58,0+

$442 Объем

<1%

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, landing squarely in the 46.0–48.9 range that commands 74% market-implied probability. The 3.9-point decline from August’s final 51.7 reading stemmed primarily from a resurgence in fuel prices and ongoing trade tensions, which pushed one-year inflation expectations up to 4.6%—the highest since June—while eroding both current-conditions and expectations sub-indices. Traders are weighting the final September print, due September 25, heavily toward this bin given historical revision patterns and the breadth of the preliminary drop. Broader labor-market resilience and equity levels have provided limited offset, leaving short-term inflation concerns as the dominant driver of current odds.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$10,806
Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, landing squarely in the 46.0–48.9 range that commands 74% market-implied probability. The 3.9-point decline from August’s final 51.7 reading stemmed primarily from a resurgence in fuel prices and ongoing trade tensions, which pushed one-year inflation expectations up to 4.6%—the highest since June—while eroding both current-conditions and expectations sub-indices. Traders are weighting the final September print, due September 25, heavily toward this bin given historical revision patterns and the breadth of the preliminary drop. Broader labor-market resilience and equity levels have provided limited offset, leaving short-term inflation concerns as the dominant driver of current odds.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$10,806
Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Вырастет ли месячная инфляция на 0,6% в сентябре?

Вырастет ли месячная инфляция на 0,6% в сентябре?

41%
Да
icon for Будет ли индекс деловой активности в секторе услуг ISM в сентябре в диапазоне от 53,0 до 53,9?

Будет ли индекс деловой активности в секторе услуг ISM в сентябре в диапазоне от 53,0 до 53,9?

28%
Да
icon for Будет ли индекс деловой активности в производственном секторе ISM в сентябре в диапазоне от 54,0 до 54,9?

Будет ли индекс деловой активности в производственном секторе ISM в сентябре в диапазоне от 54,0 до 54,9?

27%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «46,0 до 48,9» с 74%, за ним следует «От 43,0 до 45,9» с 21%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 74¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.8K с момента запуска рынка Sep 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.» — «46,0 до 48,9» с 74%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Следующий ближайший исход — «От 43,0 до 45,9» с 21%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Потребительские настроения в Мичиганском университете - сентябрь 2026 г.» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.