Market-implied odds for the August 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month change cluster around 0.4% and 0.3%, reflecting economist consensus forecasts of a 0.3–0.4% headline print following July’s subdued 0.1% gain. Analysts cite an expected rebound in gasoline prices after prior declines, alongside modest food acceleration, as key upside drivers for the headline figure, while core goods prices are projected to ease amid tariff normalization and inventory effects. Core CPI is widely seen rising 0.2% or less, supporting a 2.4% year-over-year pace. The September 11 release arrives amid a strong August jobs report and FOMC deliberations, with traders pricing in limited pass-through from earlier energy spikes and persistent services pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0,4% 52%
0,3% 36%
≥0,5% 13%
0,2% 3.5%
$59,318 Объем
$59,318 Объем
≤-0,3%
<1%
-0,2%
<1%
-0,1%
<1%
0,0%
<1%
0,1%
<1%
0,2%
3%
0,3%
36%
0,4%
52%
≥0,5%
13%
0,4% 52%
0,3% 36%
≥0,5% 13%
0,2% 3.5%
$59,318 Объем
$59,318 Объем
≤-0,3%
<1%
-0,2%
<1%
-0,1%
<1%
0,0%
<1%
0,1%
<1%
0,2%
3%
0,3%
36%
0,4%
52%
≥0,5%
13%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for the August 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month change cluster around 0.4% and 0.3%, reflecting economist consensus forecasts of a 0.3–0.4% headline print following July’s subdued 0.1% gain. Analysts cite an expected rebound in gasoline prices after prior declines, alongside modest food acceleration, as key upside drivers for the headline figure, while core goods prices are projected to ease amid tariff normalization and inventory effects. Core CPI is widely seen rising 0.2% or less, supporting a 2.4% year-over-year pace. The September 11 release arrives amid a strong August jobs report and FOMC deliberations, with traders pricing in limited pass-through from earlier energy spikes and persistent services pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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